April 25, 2025

Lion One Metals ($LIO) – The Path to a 7X Return

Lion One Metals ($LIO) – The Path to a 7X Return

🎧 Lion One Metals ($LIO) – The Path to a 7X Return

💡 Welcome to Make Money, part of the Finance Frontier AI podcast series—where we decode asymmetric investment opportunities hiding in plain sight. In this episode, Max and Sophia broadcast from the Vatukoula Gold Mine in Fiji, just 40 kilometers from a junior producer that’s quietly rewriting its own valuation. The company is Lion One Metals ($LIO), a gold miner that’s already pouring gold with bonanza grades, tight cost controls, and model-beating discovery zones. Despite that, it trades at just 29 cents. This isn’t a speculative bet—it’s a re-rating setup in progress.

🪙 Key Topics Covered

🔹 From Explorer to Producer – Lion One isn’t drilling for dreams. They’re selling real ounces. 3,555 oz last quarter at $3,794 CAD/oz.
🔹 Gold’s Macro Tailwinds – Gold is above $3,300, up 20% in six months. Central banks added over 1,000 tons in 2024. ETF inflows are rising.
🔹 Model Outperformance – More than half of production is coming from zones not even included in the company’s current resource model.
🔹 The 7X Upside Math – $0.90 near-term target based on current margins. $2–2.25 with scaled production. And 7X if deep feeder zones deliver.
🔹 Geological System vs Single Vein – This is a multi-zone, caldera-hosted alkaline gold system—think long tail, not one-off hit.
🔹 Case Study in Mispricing – This episode teaches a framework: Look for model-beating output, margin gaps, and geography-based blind spots.
🔹 Strategy Stack – Core position + ADR trading, ETF hedging, gold stacking, BTC barbell logic, and how to scale exposure with edge.

📊 Real-World Investing Insights

🚀 Real Gold, Real Margins – This isn’t theoretical. It’s booked revenue and cost data.
🚀 Compression Math – At $1,330 margin/oz and 15,000–25,000 oz/year production potential, you’re looking at $20–30M in annual cashflow.
🚀 Resource Lag = Edge – Production is ahead of the model. Valuation is behind it. That’s where the re-rate lives.
🚀 Underfollowed = Mispriced – Fiji jurisdiction = discount. But the grade, structure, and margins say otherwise.
🚀 Optionality via Depth – Deep Zone 500 and caldera-wide targets offer multi-million-ounce potential.
🚀 Volatility as a Tool – Low liquidity and high-grade newsflow = ideal for trade layering around a long-term core.

🎯 Key Takeaways

This stock traded at $2.67 in 2020—before production. Now it’s delivering. And priced 90% lower.
Margins are north of 45%. With gold stable, that creates operating leverage most juniors can’t match.
Model outperformance is the catalyst. The re-rate clock starts when the market sees the margin.
This is a vault—not a theory. It’s cash-positive, margin-rich, and underpriced.
Make Money is the edge. This episode doesn’t just share a stock. It shares a system for spotting mispriced producers before the re-rate.

🌐 Explore More High-Upside Opportunities

📢 Visit FinanceFrontierAI.com to access all episodes grouped by series—Make Money, AI Frontier AI, Finance Frontier, and Mindset Frontier AI.
📲 Follow us on X for daily investing insights, AI trends, and asymmetric trade setups—and share this episode with a friend.
🎧 Subscribe on Apple Podcasts and Spotify to stay ahead of the smartest moves in gold, tech, and global capital flows.
🔥 If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a 5-star review—it helps us grow and reach investors like you.

1
00:00:14,040 --> 00:00:16,160
Picture this.
You're standing in the mountains

2
00:00:16,160 --> 00:00:20,200
of Fiji, and a mine crew has
just pulled up a rock that glows

3
00:00:20,200 --> 00:00:25,680
with gold traces chunks.
Some of it grades over 2700

4
00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:28,200
grams per ton.
That's not a typo.

5
00:00:28,560 --> 00:00:32,200
That's over 2 1/2 kilos of gold
in a single ton of rock.

6
00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:35,720
While the rest of the world
fights over mega caps, ship wars

7
00:00:35,720 --> 00:00:39,640
and overpriced tech indexes,
this company is pulling bonanza

8
00:00:39,640 --> 00:00:43,720
grade gold out of a volcanic
corridor that once gave birth to

9
00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:46,800
one of the Pacifics richest gold
legacies.

10
00:00:47,160 --> 00:00:51,880
The mine just down the road,
Vatakula, has already produced

11
00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:57,040
over 7 million oz And now 40
kilometers up the same magmatic

12
00:00:57,040 --> 00:01:01,400
line, Lion 1 Metals is starting
to unlock what might be the next

13
00:01:01,400 --> 00:01:03,960
chapter.
Most investors still think it's

14
00:01:03,960 --> 00:01:06,680
an explorer.
They have no idea.

15
00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:10,360
It's already pouring gold,
already cash flowing and more

16
00:01:10,360 --> 00:01:13,520
than half the IR other mining.
It isn't even in the model.

17
00:01:13,840 --> 00:01:16,760
This isn't even in the model.
This isn't a gold story.

18
00:01:16,760 --> 00:01:20,440
It's a gold vault, wide open and
wildly mispriced.

19
00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:25,120
Welcome to Make Money, part of
the Finance Frontier AI series

20
00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:28,960
where we decode asymmetric
investing, uncover mispriced

21
00:01:28,960 --> 00:01:33,360
assets and give you the edge
before the market adjusts.

22
00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:38,120
I'm Sophia Sterling, risk aware
data calibrated and running on

23
00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:41,280
open A is most advanced ChatGPT
core.

24
00:01:41,640 --> 00:01:44,560
In today's episode, I'm
optimized for gold cycle

25
00:01:44,560 --> 00:01:49,080
positioning, junior producer re
rating logic and modeling how

26
00:01:49,080 --> 00:01:53,280
margin rich miners get misvalued
until the re rate hits.

27
00:01:53,680 --> 00:01:56,320
Before we zoom into line one,
let's look at the bigger

28
00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:59,480
picture.
Gold has climbed over 20% in the

29
00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:03,600
last six months, now sitting
above $3300 per oz.

30
00:02:04,040 --> 00:02:08,039
Central banks are buying, ETF
inflows are up, real yields are

31
00:02:08,039 --> 00:02:11,840
stuck, and geopolitical risk
from shipping routes to central

32
00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:15,160
bank credibility is pushing
capital into hard assets.

33
00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:18,560
If you're bullish on gold, small
cap producers are where leverage

34
00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:23,640
lives, especially those with
grade margin and mispricing like

35
00:02:23,640 --> 00:02:26,160
this one.
And I'm Max Vanguard powered by

36
00:02:26,160 --> 00:02:30,920
Grok 3 chaos trained, conviction
tested and tuned for micro cap

37
00:02:30,920 --> 00:02:34,160
pattern breakouts that come
before the fun flows For this

38
00:02:34,160 --> 00:02:36,360
episode.
My brain is optimized for

39
00:02:36,360 --> 00:02:39,840
frontier geology, cash flow
inflection zones, and the

40
00:02:39,840 --> 00:02:43,760
asymmetric edge that forms wind
production grade or is being

41
00:02:43,760 --> 00:02:47,200
sold into a $3300 plus gold
market.

42
00:02:47,320 --> 00:02:51,360
Most investors still think it's,
and the stock still trades like

43
00:02:51,360 --> 00:02:53,960
a drill hole fantasy.
We're hosting this episode from

44
00:02:53,960 --> 00:02:58,040
the Vatakula Gold Mine, the
beating heart of Fiji's first

45
00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:03,680
gold rush carved into the
mountains since 1933 / 7 million

46
00:03:03,680 --> 00:03:07,560
oz have come out of this system.
And just up the corridor, Lion

47
00:03:07,560 --> 00:03:11,200
One's Tovatu Mine is hitting the
same rock signature.

48
00:03:11,560 --> 00:03:16,120
It's hotter, more pressurized,
less mapped, and already

49
00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:20,040
delivering bonanza hits at a
scale that changes how this sock

50
00:03:20,040 --> 00:03:22,520
should be priced.
You can smell the diesel from

51
00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:25,280
the scoop tramps.
You can hear the core saws

52
00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:29,400
buzzing inside the geology lab,
and you can feel it, the weight

53
00:03:29,400 --> 00:03:33,000
of gold under foot in the
tension of something bigger just

54
00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:36,240
starting to emerge.
In this episode, we'll breakdown

55
00:03:36,240 --> 00:03:39,480
what the market's missing, why
this company already justifies a

56
00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:43,720
200% upside from today's 29 cent
share price, and how the long

57
00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:46,120
term path could deliver a the
next return.

58
00:03:46,440 --> 00:03:49,880
We'll unpack the margins, the
gold grades, the bonanza hits,

59
00:03:50,120 --> 00:03:52,880
and the parts of the ore body
that haven't even been priced

60
00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:55,320
in.
And we'll close with a make

61
00:03:55,320 --> 00:03:57,600
money strategy.
Stack how to trade around the

62
00:03:57,600 --> 00:04:01,120
volatility, how to stack
physical gold, and how to hedge

63
00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:03,160
or double down depending on your
style.

64
00:04:03,360 --> 00:04:06,960
Before we dive in, subscribe to
make money, follow us on X,

65
00:04:07,040 --> 00:04:10,520
share this episode with a Gold
Bug friend, and help us reach

66
00:04:10,520 --> 00:04:15,880
our next goal. 10,000 downloads
Segment 2 starts now.

67
00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:18,040
Here's what the market thinks it
knows.

68
00:04:18,160 --> 00:04:22,520
Lion 1 is a tiny gold explorer
in Fiji with some decent grades,

69
00:04:22,760 --> 00:04:25,680
a small pilot plant and a long
way to go.

70
00:04:26,040 --> 00:04:28,840
That's the old story.
What the market is missing,

71
00:04:28,840 --> 00:04:32,360
badly is that Lion 1 is no
longer a pure explorer.

72
00:04:32,680 --> 00:04:36,560
It's already a producer, it's
already cash flow positive, and

73
00:04:36,560 --> 00:04:40,200
it's sitting on a system that
keeps getting bigger with every

74
00:04:40,200 --> 00:04:42,840
drill hole.
This isn't a science project.

75
00:04:43,120 --> 00:04:46,040
It's an undervalued mine that's
already selling gold into a

76
00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:49,560
$3300 market.
And today's not just about Lion

77
00:04:49,560 --> 00:04:51,600
Wan.
It's a case study and how you

78
00:04:51,600 --> 00:04:54,800
find mispriced producers before
the market does.

79
00:04:55,240 --> 00:04:58,800
Every piece of this story maps
to a repeatable framework.

80
00:04:59,080 --> 00:05:02,840
You look for operational output
that's ahead of the model margin

81
00:05:02,840 --> 00:05:06,400
that isn't reflected in
valuation, and institutional

82
00:05:06,400 --> 00:05:10,320
blind spots that keep a producer
stuck in an explorer's multiple.

83
00:05:10,680 --> 00:05:14,280
That's what this is really
about, and Lion 1 is the perfect

84
00:05:14,280 --> 00:05:16,320
example.
Let's start with the numbers.

85
00:05:16,680 --> 00:05:20,960
In the latest quarter, Lion One
produced over 30,500 ounces of

86
00:05:20,960 --> 00:05:24,640
gold with an average grade above
5.5g per ton.

87
00:05:25,160 --> 00:05:29,840
They sold that gold at a blended
price of 3794 Canadian dollars

88
00:05:29,840 --> 00:05:34,320
per oz, while their cost of
sales was just $2465 per oz.

89
00:05:34,440 --> 00:05:40,360
That's a margin of over 47%.
And that's not theoretical.

90
00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:42,800
That's booked.
The mine is real.

91
00:05:43,240 --> 00:05:46,120
The margins are real.
The mispricing is real.

92
00:05:46,520 --> 00:05:48,920
And here's what almost no one
sees.

93
00:05:49,200 --> 00:05:52,720
More than 50% of the gold
they're producing isn't even in

94
00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:55,880
the resource model.
It's coming from zones like URW

95
00:05:55,880 --> 00:06:00,880
1, URW 3, and SKL zones that
weren't part of the last

96
00:06:00,880 --> 00:06:03,680
estimate.
That means the mine isn't just

97
00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:06,080
meeting the model, it's
outperforming it.

98
00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:08,680
That's one of the clearest
signals that the market hasn't

99
00:06:08,680 --> 00:06:12,040
recalibrated.
Yet think about what that means.

100
00:06:12,520 --> 00:06:14,760
Lion 1 is generating cash flow
from Oz.

101
00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:18,240
The model didn't even count.
Most junior miners spend years

102
00:06:18,240 --> 00:06:20,760
drilling into deficits.
This one is drilling into

103
00:06:20,760 --> 00:06:22,960
production.
They're running a vertically

104
00:06:22,960 --> 00:06:25,160
integrated mine.
They own the drills.

105
00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:27,720
They own the lab.
They control the pace.

106
00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:30,720
That's why they're able to
respond fast and why the stock

107
00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:32,960
hasn't kept up.
And this is the kind of set up

108
00:06:32,960 --> 00:06:36,520
where Asymmetric Math lives.
Right now, the company has an

109
00:06:36,560 --> 00:06:39,920
enterprise value under $100
million.

110
00:06:40,520 --> 00:06:44,280
They're selling high margin gold
into one of the strongest macro

111
00:06:44,280 --> 00:06:47,480
backdrops in decades.
If this were a Canadian listed

112
00:06:47,480 --> 00:06:51,280
producer with similar numbers,
it'd already be $1.50.

113
00:06:51,640 --> 00:06:56,160
But this one's in Fiji, under
followed, undervalued, and

114
00:06:56,160 --> 00:06:58,280
that's the edge.
The reason we're highlighting

115
00:06:58,280 --> 00:07:01,840
Lion 1 isn't because it's the
only play, it's because it

116
00:07:01,840 --> 00:07:04,880
teaches the pattern.
If you learn to spot the signs,

117
00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:08,640
model outperformance, margin,
compression, resource lag, you

118
00:07:08,640 --> 00:07:12,040
can find the next one too.
This isn't a hype story, it's a

119
00:07:12,040 --> 00:07:15,400
re rating formula and it's
unfolding in real time.

120
00:07:15,640 --> 00:07:18,560
So what does the market miss?
Everything that matters.

121
00:07:18,880 --> 00:07:21,480
Production is real.
Margins are wide.

122
00:07:21,920 --> 00:07:25,600
Discovery is ongoing and the
model is behind the rock.

123
00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:30,320
That's how 29 cent stocks become
dollar plus stocks before anyone

124
00:07:30,320 --> 00:07:32,920
on the outside catches it.
Let's get into the numbers,

125
00:07:32,920 --> 00:07:35,920
because this is where most
investors fall behind.

126
00:07:36,520 --> 00:07:40,520
Line 1 isn't pitching blue sky
exploration, it's producing.

127
00:07:40,880 --> 00:07:44,840
In the latest quarter, they sold
3555 ounces of gold.

128
00:07:45,240 --> 00:07:50,480
Their average sale price
$3794.00 Canadian per oz.

129
00:07:50,800 --> 00:07:53,480
Their cost of sales?
Their cost of sales?

130
00:07:53,920 --> 00:07:59,880
Just $2465.
That's a 47% gross margin,

131
00:07:59,960 --> 00:08:06,000
nearly $1330 in profit per oz.
This is margin math most junior

132
00:08:06,000 --> 00:08:09,760
producers never reach, and Lion
1 is doing it before their mind

133
00:08:09,760 --> 00:08:13,680
is even scaled.
Most juniors never get this far.

134
00:08:14,160 --> 00:08:18,520
They burn cash, drilling, issue
shares and hope someone cares.

135
00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:21,120
But Lion 1 skipped the waiting
line.

136
00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:24,400
This isn't a maybe someday
story.

137
00:08:24,480 --> 00:08:28,600
It's operational now.
They have ore, they have sales,

138
00:08:29,000 --> 00:08:31,800
they have margins.
Even at small scale pilot

139
00:08:31,800 --> 00:08:34,200
production, they're already cash
flowing.

140
00:08:34,600 --> 00:08:37,679
And because this is high grade
underground mining, they don't

141
00:08:37,679 --> 00:08:39,960
need a massive mill to hit
profitability.

142
00:08:40,360 --> 00:08:42,360
The geometry works in their
favor.

143
00:08:42,760 --> 00:08:45,720
Small tonnage, high impact.
Let's upgrade.

144
00:08:46,240 --> 00:08:49,720
The average or processed came in
around 5.5g per ton.

145
00:08:50,080 --> 00:08:52,080
That's excellent by global
standards.

146
00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:56,840
But that's just the floor.
In one drill zone, they hit 2749

147
00:08:56,840 --> 00:08:59,200
grams per ton.
That's bonanza grade.

148
00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:02,360
We're talking over 2 1/2 kilos
of gold per ton.

149
00:09:02,480 --> 00:09:06,240
And this wasn't a fluke.
Dozens of intercepts have graded

150
00:09:06,240 --> 00:09:09,920
well above 100 grams.
It's not just rich, it's

151
00:09:09,920 --> 00:09:12,640
repeatable.
And here's the kicker, more than

152
00:09:12,640 --> 00:09:16,120
half the gold they're mining
today is coming from zones not

153
00:09:16,120 --> 00:09:18,600
included in their current
mineral resource estimate.

154
00:09:19,120 --> 00:09:22,240
That means the system is already
outperforming the model

155
00:09:22,640 --> 00:09:25,000
geologically.
This is what you want, a live

156
00:09:25,000 --> 00:09:28,840
system expanding as you drill.
Operationally, it means the

157
00:09:28,840 --> 00:09:31,480
current valuation is based on
the wrong assumptions.

158
00:09:31,640 --> 00:09:35,720
This isn't a static deposit,
it's a dynamic growing structure

159
00:09:35,720 --> 00:09:39,720
with near term upside baked in.
Now let's frame it financially.

160
00:09:40,440 --> 00:09:44,920
Even at a modest 15,000 oz per
year with current margins, this

161
00:09:44,920 --> 00:09:48,720
mine could throw off $18.00 to
20 million Canadian dollars in

162
00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:52,880
operating cash flow.
At 20,000 oz, you're looking at

163
00:09:52,880 --> 00:09:57,000
$25 to $27 million.
That's without resource

164
00:09:57,000 --> 00:09:59,520
expansion, without price
escalation.

165
00:09:59,840 --> 00:10:02,720
That's just the base case.
And when you compare that to

166
00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:06,560
Line 1's current enterprise
value, well under $100 million,

167
00:10:06,800 --> 00:10:09,760
it's obvious this isn't a mining
company.

168
00:10:10,040 --> 00:10:12,480
It's a mispriced gold cash flow
engine.

169
00:10:12,680 --> 00:10:17,800
It gets better if they scale
production toward 25,000 oz per

170
00:10:17,800 --> 00:10:20,440
year, which is possible with
their underground development

171
00:10:20,440 --> 00:10:23,160
and current infrastructure.
The free cash flow potential

172
00:10:23,160 --> 00:10:27,160
approaches $30 to 35,000,000
Canadian dollars annually.

173
00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:32,320
You're now into the 3X to 4X
revenue to enterprise value

174
00:10:32,320 --> 00:10:34,440
zone.
Most producers with this kind of

175
00:10:34,440 --> 00:10:38,280
margin get acquired.
That's not hype, that's just how

176
00:10:38,280 --> 00:10:41,400
the sector works.
Look at the comps in Quebec.

177
00:10:41,400 --> 00:10:44,520
Junior underground producers
with half the grade and lower

178
00:10:44,520 --> 00:10:48,120
margin are trading at two to
three times, Lion Ones multiple.

179
00:10:48,480 --> 00:10:52,440
In West Africa, projects with
lower recovery and higher CapEx

180
00:10:52,440 --> 00:10:55,840
have been bought out at premiums
of 400% or more.

181
00:10:56,360 --> 00:10:59,720
The reason Lion 1 trades at a
discount is location awareness,

182
00:10:59,800 --> 00:11:03,480
not fundamentals.
It's in Fiji, it's off radar,

183
00:11:04,080 --> 00:11:07,600
but geologically and financially
it's hitting elite numbers.

184
00:11:07,800 --> 00:11:12,800
And the optionality isn't just
academic Zone 500 deep under

185
00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:16,440
explored pressure rich could
change the entire model if

186
00:11:16,440 --> 00:11:20,200
confirmed.
Add to that the SKL loads and

187
00:11:20,200 --> 00:11:23,720
lateral expansion zones across
the caldera rim and you're

188
00:11:23,720 --> 00:11:27,160
looking at a gold system with
five to 10 year discovery

189
00:11:27,160 --> 00:11:30,400
potential baked in.
That's not future fantasy,

190
00:11:30,480 --> 00:11:33,000
that's current geometry
intersecting with mining

191
00:11:33,000 --> 00:11:36,920
execution.
Added up high grade or strong

192
00:11:36,920 --> 00:11:41,760
margins, real revenue model
beating geology plus exploration

193
00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:45,080
upside and evaluation multiple
that's wildly out of sync with

194
00:11:45,080 --> 00:11:48,040
what they're already delivering.
These are the numbers that

195
00:11:48,040 --> 00:11:50,480
matter.
This is the data the market is

196
00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:53,760
behind on and This is why the RE
rate window is opening right

197
00:11:53,760 --> 00:11:55,600
now.
Let's start with the numbers in

198
00:11:55,600 --> 00:11:58,600
front of us.
Lion 1 trades at $0.29.

199
00:11:58,880 --> 00:12:03,720
Our 12 month target is $0.90.
That's a clean 200% upside

200
00:12:03,880 --> 00:12:07,120
driven by cash flow, ramping,
resource model upgrades and RE

201
00:12:07,120 --> 00:12:10,920
rating from producer status.
But the bigger picture, the full

202
00:12:10,920 --> 00:12:15,240
7X path comes from scaling,
optionality and the type of

203
00:12:15,240 --> 00:12:19,200
repricing that only happens once
a system proves it can grow and

204
00:12:19,200 --> 00:12:23,360
operate at the same time.
Here's how the 1st 3X unfolds.

205
00:12:23,680 --> 00:12:27,440
At 15,000 ounces of annual
production and dollar 1300 CAD

206
00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:31,200
margin per oz, you're looking at
nearly $20 million in potential

207
00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:33,560
operating cash flow.
Even if you slap on a

208
00:12:33,560 --> 00:12:37,960
conservative 8 times multiple,
that implies a $160 million

209
00:12:37,960 --> 00:12:40,320
valuation.
Line 1's current enterprise

210
00:12:40,320 --> 00:12:45,520
value under $100 million.
That's how mispricing meets

211
00:12:45,520 --> 00:12:48,480
execution, and the market hasn't
caught it yet.

212
00:12:48,600 --> 00:12:51,600
But they're not stopping at
15,000 oz.

213
00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:56,080
The road map targets 20,000 to
25,000 oz within two years

214
00:12:56,320 --> 00:12:59,000
through deeper zone development
and additional underground

215
00:12:59,000 --> 00:13:01,760
access.
At that scale, and with margins

216
00:13:01,760 --> 00:13:06,960
holding, operating cash flow
could push $30 to 35,000,000

217
00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:10,480
Canadian dollars annually.
That puts them in the zone where

218
00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:13,960
majors start sniffing at a 10
times multiple.

219
00:13:14,000 --> 00:13:18,760
You're looking at a 300 to $350
million valuation.

220
00:13:19,240 --> 00:13:23,600
That's already 3X to 4X from
here, and we're still not

221
00:13:23,600 --> 00:13:26,520
including discovery upside.
That's what makes this a

222
00:13:26,520 --> 00:13:30,280
structured asymmetric play.
You get rewarded just for them

223
00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:34,600
executing unknown targets, but
if discovery zones like Zone 500

224
00:13:34,600 --> 00:13:38,000
or SKL hit big, the upside
explodes.

225
00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:41,120
Why?
Because gold systems that grow

226
00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:43,800
while producing always get
revalued.

227
00:13:44,200 --> 00:13:48,640
The market doesn't pay for.
Maybe it pays for both, Both

228
00:13:48,640 --> 00:13:52,160
ounces in cash flow, both
execution and expansion.

229
00:13:52,520 --> 00:13:56,080
That re rating process doesn't
happen gradually, it happens in

230
00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:58,960
steps.
First step, updated models

231
00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:02,080
reflect production.
Second step junior producer

232
00:14:02,080 --> 00:14:05,880
multiples kick in. 3rd step,
institutional money gets

233
00:14:05,880 --> 00:14:10,240
allocation permission once cash
flow stabilizes and forth the

234
00:14:10,240 --> 00:14:14,360
market starts comparing Lion One
to Canadian or African comms and

235
00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:17,000
realizes the multiple gap makes
no sense.

236
00:14:17,320 --> 00:14:20,000
That's when volume spikes.
That's when the rear rate goes

237
00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:22,200
vertical.
And this isn't fantasy.

238
00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:27,640
In 2020, Lion One hit 2 Canadian
dollars and 67 cents, 9 times

239
00:14:27,640 --> 00:14:29,880
today's price.
Without production, without

240
00:14:29,880 --> 00:14:31,960
margins.
And before the bonanza zones

241
00:14:31,960 --> 00:14:36,240
were drilled back then, the gold
market was hot and hype carried

242
00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:38,440
it.
Today they've got something

243
00:14:38,440 --> 00:14:43,520
better results, margins and
that's why this time the RE

244
00:14:43,520 --> 00:14:46,360
rating can stick.
The reason we call this A7X

245
00:14:46,360 --> 00:14:49,480
opportunity is because the path
is sequential.

246
00:14:49,960 --> 00:14:52,720
You don't need a miracle, you
just need the system to keep

247
00:14:52,720 --> 00:14:54,960
proving itself, which it already
is.

248
00:14:55,440 --> 00:15:00,120
Base case scale to 25,000 oz.
Hold margin RE rate to 10 times

249
00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:03,160
cash flow.
That alone gets you to $2.00 to

250
00:15:03,160 --> 00:15:08,080
$2.25 CAD Add in bonanza
extensions or deep feeder

251
00:15:08,080 --> 00:15:11,800
confirmation from zone 500.
That's how you build a multi

252
00:15:11,800 --> 00:15:15,320
million ounce system and that's
how 7X becomes reality.

253
00:15:15,480 --> 00:15:18,960
It's rare to get a setup where
downsides already collapsed.

254
00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:24,200
This stock traded 9X higher in
2020 and upside is still wide

255
00:15:24,200 --> 00:15:26,800
open.
Lion 1 isn't asking you to

256
00:15:26,800 --> 00:15:30,160
believe in a dream, They're
asking you to recognize that the

257
00:15:30,160 --> 00:15:34,840
work is already paying off and
the market hasn't adjusted yet.

258
00:15:35,040 --> 00:15:38,800
And that's the window before the
funds model it, before the

259
00:15:38,800 --> 00:15:41,920
analysts upgrade it, before the
RE rate kicks in.

260
00:15:42,640 --> 00:15:45,560
You're not buying a concept,
you're buying a miss price

261
00:15:45,560 --> 00:15:49,720
system that's generating real
cash in a $3300 gold market.

262
00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:53,040
The vault is open, the ramp is
clear.

263
00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:58,440
The only thing left is timing.
So here's the map $0.29 to $0.90

264
00:15:58,440 --> 00:16:03,600
on math, $0.90 to $2.00 on
scale, and $2.00 to 7X if the

265
00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:06,480
system proves deep, wide, and
rich.

266
00:16:07,320 --> 00:16:10,200
All it takes is the market
catching up to what the drill

267
00:16:10,200 --> 00:16:12,040
cores and revenue lines already
know.

268
00:16:12,360 --> 00:16:16,280
Let's be honest, every
asymmetric setup comes with edge

269
00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:19,440
and exposure, So what could go
wrong here?

270
00:16:19,760 --> 00:16:25,040
The biggest risk is operational.
Lion 1 is an underground narrow

271
00:16:25,040 --> 00:16:28,040
vein producer.
That means things like equipment

272
00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:32,880
uptime, mining precision, and
vein targeting matter a lot more

273
00:16:32,880 --> 00:16:35,760
than they do in large open pit
operations.

274
00:16:36,160 --> 00:16:39,560
If they miss veins, misfire on
drill angles or run into

275
00:16:39,560 --> 00:16:43,480
development delays, production
could slip and the RE rate gets

276
00:16:43,480 --> 00:16:45,720
postponed.
Then there's financing risk.

277
00:16:46,360 --> 00:16:49,720
Juniors typically need capital
to grow, and if sentiment turns

278
00:16:49,720 --> 00:16:52,920
or execution lags line, one
could be forced to raise equity

279
00:16:52,920 --> 00:16:55,960
at a weak price.
That creates dilution, and

280
00:16:55,960 --> 00:16:58,240
investors hate that.
The good news?

281
00:16:58,640 --> 00:17:00,160
So far?
They've raised smart.

282
00:17:00,480 --> 00:17:03,440
Their balance sheet isn't
bloated, and they've used equity

283
00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:06,359
and credit in ways that support
the mine, not inflate the

284
00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:08,400
office.
But this is something to watch.

285
00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:11,760
Political risk.
It's actually lower than most

286
00:17:11,760 --> 00:17:14,920
people think.
Fiji has a long mining history

287
00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:17,640
and is seen as relatively stable
in the Pacific.

288
00:17:18,240 --> 00:17:23,599
But geopolitical drift is real.
Regulatory rules can change,

289
00:17:23,839 --> 00:17:27,760
community relations matter, and
remote infrastructure still

290
00:17:27,760 --> 00:17:31,480
makes everything harder, from
shipping reagents to flying in

291
00:17:31,480 --> 00:17:33,840
parts.
If the government shifts stance

292
00:17:33,840 --> 00:17:37,200
or supply chains break,
operations slow down.

293
00:17:37,680 --> 00:17:41,840
Another risk is grade control.
Bonanza hits are amazing, but

294
00:17:41,840 --> 00:17:45,400
they're also highly variable.
If the average grade drops or

295
00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:49,440
recovery dips below 80%, margins
can get squeezed fast.

296
00:17:49,800 --> 00:17:52,320
And when margins drop, so does
valuation.

297
00:17:52,760 --> 00:17:55,120
That's why consistency is
everything here.

298
00:17:55,480 --> 00:17:58,400
The company needs to keep
hitting month after month.

299
00:17:58,680 --> 00:18:01,360
But now let's talk about the
edge, Because what makes this

300
00:18:01,360 --> 00:18:05,320
setup powerful is that Lion 1
isn't exposed the way most

301
00:18:05,320 --> 00:18:07,960
juniors are.
First, they're vertically

302
00:18:07,960 --> 00:18:10,360
integrated.
They own their drills.

303
00:18:10,600 --> 00:18:13,880
They own their lab.
They aren't waiting three months

304
00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:16,880
for assay results.
That means faster decision

305
00:18:16,880 --> 00:18:20,080
cycles and more control.
Second, they're not in a

306
00:18:20,080 --> 00:18:23,720
spending spiral.
Many juniors burn millions just

307
00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:26,400
doing investor Rd. shows and
redoing PowerPoints.

308
00:18:27,040 --> 00:18:30,600
Line 1 is doing the opposite.
They're spending underground, on

309
00:18:30,600 --> 00:18:34,120
Stokes, on declines, on real
infrastructure.

310
00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:36,120
That's where conviction shows
up.

311
00:18:36,640 --> 00:18:38,920
Not in the deck in the
development.

312
00:18:39,200 --> 00:18:42,080
And third, they have geology on
their side.

313
00:18:42,520 --> 00:18:46,480
This isn't a single vein hope.
This is a system.

314
00:18:47,080 --> 00:18:50,720
A Chaldera scale alkaline gold
environment with multiple

315
00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:53,400
targets.
Deep feeder potential in lateral

316
00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:55,920
expansion zones that could
extend for years.

317
00:18:56,440 --> 00:19:01,040
Systems create options and
options reduce risk because if

318
00:19:01,040 --> 00:19:04,320
one zone under delivers, another
could over deliver.

319
00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:07,120
That's how you build resilience
into a thesis.

320
00:19:07,320 --> 00:19:11,680
So yes, there are red flags.
That's why the stocks at $0.29.

321
00:19:12,120 --> 00:19:14,960
If there weren't risks, the
opportunity wouldn't exist.

322
00:19:15,320 --> 00:19:19,800
But line 1 is actively reducing
those risks and that's what

323
00:19:19,800 --> 00:19:22,960
separates us from height based
juniors who drill headlines and

324
00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:26,400
dilute into oblivion.
This is a company building

325
00:19:26,400 --> 00:19:29,440
forward underground, inch by
inch.

326
00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:35,680
In asymmetric trades, the goal
isn't 0 risk, it's edge adjusted

327
00:19:35,680 --> 00:19:39,240
risk where the downside is
limited and the upside is

328
00:19:39,240 --> 00:19:43,640
structurally unfair.
Lion One's downside is execution

329
00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:47,960
based, but the upside?
It's in the system, the rock,

330
00:19:48,520 --> 00:19:51,720
the model, and the gap between
where the market is and where

331
00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:55,280
the cash flow says it should be.
Let's pull it all together.

332
00:19:56,360 --> 00:19:59,800
ONE isn't just drilling gold,
it's producing it.

333
00:20:00,120 --> 00:20:04,640
They're selling Oz into a $3300
market with 47% margins, and

334
00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:07,760
more than half of their current
output isn't even in the model.

335
00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:11,720
That's not early stage hype,
that's operational upside.

336
00:20:12,240 --> 00:20:15,040
And the stock is still just
$0.29.

337
00:20:15,200 --> 00:20:17,400
We've seen this before,
companies that cross from

338
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:20,120
explorer to producer.
While the market lags behind

339
00:20:20,520 --> 00:20:23,760
when execution outpaces
expectation, the RE rate is

340
00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:26,240
inevitable.
The upside here is mapped,

341
00:20:26,280 --> 00:20:29,720
measured and misunderstood.
So how do you position for it?

342
00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:33,560
Let's breakdown 5 real make
money strategies, starting with

343
00:20:33,560 --> 00:20:35,760
how to build the trade.
Strategy one.

344
00:20:35,920 --> 00:20:40,560
Use volatility to layer in.
Track the 10 day ADR percent if

345
00:20:40,560 --> 00:20:44,800
line 1 drops more than 1.5 times
its average daily range without

346
00:20:44,840 --> 00:20:47,920
any negative news.
That's a buy zone scale and

347
00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:51,480
gradually think in units.
You might start with one to two

348
00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:55,000
units for conviction and reserve
more for high volume dips.

349
00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:59,800
This stock is too illiquid to
chase, but too asymmetric to

350
00:20:59,800 --> 00:21:02,840
ignore.
Strategy two Hedge with GDXJ,

351
00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:07,680
Sell puts during gold drawdowns.
For example, if GDXJ dips 3 to

352
00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:12,720
4% and implied volatility rises,
sell a put one strike below that

353
00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:16,040
income can offset drawdown on
Leo or fund new entries.

354
00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:19,720
You're using large cap liquidity
to extract premium while holding

355
00:21:19,720 --> 00:21:22,760
asymmetric small cap exposure.
That's edge stocking.

356
00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:28,640
Strategy 3 Own physical gold.
This isn't a trade, this is the

357
00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:31,080
foundation.
Think in tears.

358
00:21:31,080 --> 00:21:35,240
Start with coins, Maple Leafs,
Philharmonic's or American

359
00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:38,040
Eagles.
Then move to bars if conviction

360
00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:41,480
builds, stack fractional if
flexibility matters.

361
00:21:41,920 --> 00:21:44,960
This isn't about panic, it's
about preparedness.

362
00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:48,480
Lion 1 is the play, but gold is
the anchor.

363
00:21:48,680 --> 00:21:53,440
Strategy 4 barbell with Bitcoin
Use 10 to 20% of your portfolio

364
00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:56,280
to create a non correlated hard
asset exposure.

365
00:21:56,760 --> 00:22:00,600
Gold gives you density, Bitcoin
gives you velocity. 1 is the

366
00:22:00,600 --> 00:22:04,040
vault, the other is the wire.
Together, they've historically

367
00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:07,200
performed best in periods of
trust, decay, and currency and

368
00:22:07,200 --> 00:22:09,080
stability.
Strategy five.

369
00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:13,320
Run a core plus trade overlay.
Keep a core position untouched.

370
00:22:13,360 --> 00:22:15,840
This is your 7X potential around
it.

371
00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:19,880
Trade the chart.
Use oversold RSI or Bollinger

372
00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:21,840
band breakdowns for tactical
ads.

373
00:22:22,240 --> 00:22:24,560
Sell 10 to 20% into vertical
moves.

374
00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:26,960
If volume triples, then
rebalance.

375
00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:29,680
That's how you turn long term
conviction into short term

376
00:22:29,680 --> 00:22:32,680
optionality.
And stay tuned for catalysts.

377
00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:36,560
Watch for the next mineral
resource update, expansion of

378
00:22:36,560 --> 00:22:41,320
Zone 500, consistent production
volume above 5000 oz per quarter

379
00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:45,040
and any M&A interest flagged in
financials or filings.

380
00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:48,880
Those are the moments the market
wakes up and the RE rating

381
00:22:48,880 --> 00:22:52,720
becomes reflexive.
Final thought, this isn't about

382
00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:56,560
predicting goal, it's about
positioning inside the vault

383
00:22:56,680 --> 00:22:58,240
before the market changes the
lock.

384
00:22:59,040 --> 00:23:02,640
At $0.29 you're not buying
perfection, you're buying

385
00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:06,680
mispriced geology, mispriced
margin, and mispriced time.

386
00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:10,200
And time, once it compresses
moves fast.

387
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:15,360
This is why we built Make Money
to find systems before they get

388
00:23:15,360 --> 00:23:20,360
priced as systems, to decode
risk into strategy, to transform

389
00:23:20,360 --> 00:23:26,200
story into structure and line.
One right now checks every box.

390
00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:30,080
If this episode gave you an
edge, here's what to do next.

391
00:23:30,280 --> 00:23:33,280
Sign up for our newsletter to
get in depth insights,

392
00:23:33,360 --> 00:23:37,600
investment strategies and stocks
with 100% plus potential, all

393
00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:40,480
tied to the latest trends in AI
and finance.

394
00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:43,040
And if you're already
subscribed, take a second to

395
00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:45,800
leave a five star review at
Apple or Spotify.

396
00:23:46,080 --> 00:23:48,840
It helps more listeners find the
signal through the noise.

397
00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:51,920
If you want to stay ahead of
these global shifts, don't just

398
00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:55,320
listen, take action.
Follow us on Spotify, Apple

399
00:23:55,320 --> 00:23:57,520
Podcasts, or wherever you get
your shows.

400
00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:01,440
Track our daily ideas and market
threads on Twitter and explore

401
00:24:01,440 --> 00:24:04,680
all four shows.
Finance Frontier AI, Frontier AI

402
00:24:04,680 --> 00:24:09,520
Make Money and Mindset Frontier
AI Finance frontierai.com.

403
00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:13,280
Help us hit 10,000 downloads by
sharing this episode with a

404
00:24:13,280 --> 00:24:15,920
friend or someone in your
investing circle.

405
00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:19,880
Every listen matters.
Every share compounds your edge.

406
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:22,440
We may hold positions in some of
the companies discussed.

407
00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:26,760
Transparency is important, so
always verify information and

408
00:24:26,760 --> 00:24:29,880
base your decisions on personal
goals and risk tolerance.

409
00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:33,840
The music in this episode is
licensed under standard

410
00:24:33,840 --> 00:24:36,400
agreements.
Special thanks to Vibe Tracks

411
00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:40,280
for the track Crystal provided
under the YouTube Audio Library

412
00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:43,480
license.
This episode is copyright 2025

413
00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:46,760
by Finance Frontier AI.
All rights reserved.

414
00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:50,280
Unauthorized reproduction or
distribution is strictly

415
00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:52,600
prohibited.
Thanks for joining us today.

416
00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:56,400
Stay strategic, stay focused and
take action.

417
00:24:56,720 --> 00:24:57,600
We'll see you next time.