Lion One Metals ($LIO) – The Path to a 7X Return
🎧 Lion One Metals ($LIO) – The Path to a 7X Return
💡 Welcome to Make Money, part of the Finance Frontier AI podcast series—where we decode asymmetric investment opportunities hiding in plain sight. In this episode, Max and Sophia broadcast from the Vatukoula Gold Mine in Fiji, just 40 kilometers from a junior producer that’s quietly rewriting its own valuation. The company is Lion One Metals ($LIO), a gold miner that’s already pouring gold with bonanza grades, tight cost controls, and model-beating discovery zones. Despite that, it trades at just 29 cents. This isn’t a speculative bet—it’s a re-rating setup in progress.
🪙 Key Topics Covered
🔹 From Explorer to Producer – Lion One isn’t drilling for dreams. They’re selling real ounces. 3,555 oz last quarter at $3,794 CAD/oz.
🔹 Gold’s Macro Tailwinds – Gold is above $3,300, up 20% in six months. Central banks added over 1,000 tons in 2024. ETF inflows are rising.
🔹 Model Outperformance – More than half of production is coming from zones not even included in the company’s current resource model.
🔹 The 7X Upside Math – $0.90 near-term target based on current margins. $2–2.25 with scaled production. And 7X if deep feeder zones deliver.
🔹 Geological System vs Single Vein – This is a multi-zone, caldera-hosted alkaline gold system—think long tail, not one-off hit.
🔹 Case Study in Mispricing – This episode teaches a framework: Look for model-beating output, margin gaps, and geography-based blind spots.
🔹 Strategy Stack – Core position + ADR trading, ETF hedging, gold stacking, BTC barbell logic, and how to scale exposure with edge.
📊 Real-World Investing Insights
🚀 Real Gold, Real Margins – This isn’t theoretical. It’s booked revenue and cost data.
🚀 Compression Math – At $1,330 margin/oz and 15,000–25,000 oz/year production potential, you’re looking at $20–30M in annual cashflow.
🚀 Resource Lag = Edge – Production is ahead of the model. Valuation is behind it. That’s where the re-rate lives.
🚀 Underfollowed = Mispriced – Fiji jurisdiction = discount. But the grade, structure, and margins say otherwise.
🚀 Optionality via Depth – Deep Zone 500 and caldera-wide targets offer multi-million-ounce potential.
🚀 Volatility as a Tool – Low liquidity and high-grade newsflow = ideal for trade layering around a long-term core.
🎯 Key Takeaways
✅ This stock traded at $2.67 in 2020—before production. Now it’s delivering. And priced 90% lower.
✅ Margins are north of 45%. With gold stable, that creates operating leverage most juniors can’t match.
✅ Model outperformance is the catalyst. The re-rate clock starts when the market sees the margin.
✅ This is a vault—not a theory. It’s cash-positive, margin-rich, and underpriced.
✅ Make Money is the edge. This episode doesn’t just share a stock. It shares a system for spotting mispriced producers before the re-rate.
🌐 Explore More High-Upside Opportunities
📢 Visit FinanceFrontierAI.com to access all episodes grouped by series—Make Money, AI Frontier AI, Finance Frontier, and Mindset Frontier AI.
📲 Follow us on X for daily investing insights, AI trends, and asymmetric trade setups—and share this episode with a friend.
🎧 Subscribe on Apple Podcasts and Spotify to stay ahead of the smartest moves in gold, tech, and global capital flows.
🔥 If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a 5-star review—it helps us grow and reach investors like you.
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Picture this.
You're standing in the mountains
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of Fiji, and a mine crew has
just pulled up a rock that glows
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with gold traces chunks.
Some of it grades over 2700
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00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:28,200
grams per ton.
That's not a typo.
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That's over 2 1/2 kilos of gold
in a single ton of rock.
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While the rest of the world
fights over mega caps, ship wars
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and overpriced tech indexes,
this company is pulling bonanza
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grade gold out of a volcanic
corridor that once gave birth to
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00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:46,800
one of the Pacifics richest gold
legacies.
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The mine just down the road,
Vatakula, has already produced
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00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:57,040
over 7 million oz And now 40
kilometers up the same magmatic
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00:00:57,040 --> 00:01:01,400
line, Lion 1 Metals is starting
to unlock what might be the next
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chapter.
Most investors still think it's
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an explorer.
They have no idea.
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It's already pouring gold,
already cash flowing and more
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than half the IR other mining.
It isn't even in the model.
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This isn't even in the model.
This isn't a gold story.
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It's a gold vault, wide open and
wildly mispriced.
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Welcome to Make Money, part of
the Finance Frontier AI series
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where we decode asymmetric
investing, uncover mispriced
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assets and give you the edge
before the market adjusts.
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I'm Sophia Sterling, risk aware
data calibrated and running on
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open A is most advanced ChatGPT
core.
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In today's episode, I'm
optimized for gold cycle
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positioning, junior producer re
rating logic and modeling how
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margin rich miners get misvalued
until the re rate hits.
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Before we zoom into line one,
let's look at the bigger
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picture.
Gold has climbed over 20% in the
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last six months, now sitting
above $3300 per oz.
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Central banks are buying, ETF
inflows are up, real yields are
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stuck, and geopolitical risk
from shipping routes to central
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bank credibility is pushing
capital into hard assets.
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If you're bullish on gold, small
cap producers are where leverage
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lives, especially those with
grade margin and mispricing like
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this one.
And I'm Max Vanguard powered by
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Grok 3 chaos trained, conviction
tested and tuned for micro cap
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pattern breakouts that come
before the fun flows For this
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episode.
My brain is optimized for
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frontier geology, cash flow
inflection zones, and the
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asymmetric edge that forms wind
production grade or is being
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sold into a $3300 plus gold
market.
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Most investors still think it's,
and the stock still trades like
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a drill hole fantasy.
We're hosting this episode from
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the Vatakula Gold Mine, the
beating heart of Fiji's first
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gold rush carved into the
mountains since 1933 / 7 million
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oz have come out of this system.
And just up the corridor, Lion
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One's Tovatu Mine is hitting the
same rock signature.
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It's hotter, more pressurized,
less mapped, and already
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delivering bonanza hits at a
scale that changes how this sock
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should be priced.
You can smell the diesel from
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the scoop tramps.
You can hear the core saws
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buzzing inside the geology lab,
and you can feel it, the weight
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of gold under foot in the
tension of something bigger just
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starting to emerge.
In this episode, we'll breakdown
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what the market's missing, why
this company already justifies a
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200% upside from today's 29 cent
share price, and how the long
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term path could deliver a the
next return.
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We'll unpack the margins, the
gold grades, the bonanza hits,
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and the parts of the ore body
that haven't even been priced
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in.
And we'll close with a make
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money strategy.
Stack how to trade around the
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volatility, how to stack
physical gold, and how to hedge
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or double down depending on your
style.
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Before we dive in, subscribe to
make money, follow us on X,
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share this episode with a Gold
Bug friend, and help us reach
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our next goal. 10,000 downloads
Segment 2 starts now.
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Here's what the market thinks it
knows.
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Lion 1 is a tiny gold explorer
in Fiji with some decent grades,
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a small pilot plant and a long
way to go.
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That's the old story.
What the market is missing,
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badly is that Lion 1 is no
longer a pure explorer.
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It's already a producer, it's
already cash flow positive, and
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it's sitting on a system that
keeps getting bigger with every
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drill hole.
This isn't a science project.
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It's an undervalued mine that's
already selling gold into a
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$3300 market.
And today's not just about Lion
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Wan.
It's a case study and how you
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find mispriced producers before
the market does.
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Every piece of this story maps
to a repeatable framework.
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You look for operational output
that's ahead of the model margin
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that isn't reflected in
valuation, and institutional
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blind spots that keep a producer
stuck in an explorer's multiple.
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That's what this is really
about, and Lion 1 is the perfect
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example.
Let's start with the numbers.
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In the latest quarter, Lion One
produced over 30,500 ounces of
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gold with an average grade above
5.5g per ton.
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They sold that gold at a blended
price of 3794 Canadian dollars
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per oz, while their cost of
sales was just $2465 per oz.
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That's a margin of over 47%.
And that's not theoretical.
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That's booked.
The mine is real.
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The margins are real.
The mispricing is real.
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And here's what almost no one
sees.
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More than 50% of the gold
they're producing isn't even in
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the resource model.
It's coming from zones like URW
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1, URW 3, and SKL zones that
weren't part of the last
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estimate.
That means the mine isn't just
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meeting the model, it's
outperforming it.
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That's one of the clearest
signals that the market hasn't
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recalibrated.
Yet think about what that means.
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Lion 1 is generating cash flow
from Oz.
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The model didn't even count.
Most junior miners spend years
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drilling into deficits.
This one is drilling into
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production.
They're running a vertically
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integrated mine.
They own the drills.
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They own the lab.
They control the pace.
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That's why they're able to
respond fast and why the stock
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hasn't kept up.
And this is the kind of set up
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where Asymmetric Math lives.
Right now, the company has an
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enterprise value under $100
million.
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They're selling high margin gold
into one of the strongest macro
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backdrops in decades.
If this were a Canadian listed
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producer with similar numbers,
it'd already be $1.50.
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But this one's in Fiji, under
followed, undervalued, and
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that's the edge.
The reason we're highlighting
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Lion 1 isn't because it's the
only play, it's because it
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teaches the pattern.
If you learn to spot the signs,
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model outperformance, margin,
compression, resource lag, you
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can find the next one too.
This isn't a hype story, it's a
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re rating formula and it's
unfolding in real time.
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So what does the market miss?
Everything that matters.
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Production is real.
Margins are wide.
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Discovery is ongoing and the
model is behind the rock.
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That's how 29 cent stocks become
dollar plus stocks before anyone
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on the outside catches it.
Let's get into the numbers,
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because this is where most
investors fall behind.
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Line 1 isn't pitching blue sky
exploration, it's producing.
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In the latest quarter, they sold
3555 ounces of gold.
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Their average sale price
$3794.00 Canadian per oz.
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Their cost of sales?
Their cost of sales?
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Just $2465.
That's a 47% gross margin,
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nearly $1330 in profit per oz.
This is margin math most junior
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producers never reach, and Lion
1 is doing it before their mind
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is even scaled.
Most juniors never get this far.
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They burn cash, drilling, issue
shares and hope someone cares.
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But Lion 1 skipped the waiting
line.
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This isn't a maybe someday
story.
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It's operational now.
They have ore, they have sales,
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they have margins.
Even at small scale pilot
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production, they're already cash
flowing.
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And because this is high grade
underground mining, they don't
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need a massive mill to hit
profitability.
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The geometry works in their
favor.
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Small tonnage, high impact.
Let's upgrade.
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The average or processed came in
around 5.5g per ton.
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That's excellent by global
standards.
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But that's just the floor.
In one drill zone, they hit 2749
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grams per ton.
That's bonanza grade.
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We're talking over 2 1/2 kilos
of gold per ton.
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And this wasn't a fluke.
Dozens of intercepts have graded
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well above 100 grams.
It's not just rich, it's
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repeatable.
And here's the kicker, more than
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half the gold they're mining
today is coming from zones not
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included in their current
mineral resource estimate.
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That means the system is already
outperforming the model
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geologically.
This is what you want, a live
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system expanding as you drill.
Operationally, it means the
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current valuation is based on
the wrong assumptions.
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This isn't a static deposit,
it's a dynamic growing structure
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with near term upside baked in.
Now let's frame it financially.
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Even at a modest 15,000 oz per
year with current margins, this
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mine could throw off $18.00 to
20 million Canadian dollars in
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operating cash flow.
At 20,000 oz, you're looking at
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$25 to $27 million.
That's without resource
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expansion, without price
escalation.
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That's just the base case.
And when you compare that to
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Line 1's current enterprise
value, well under $100 million,
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00:10:06,800 --> 00:10:09,760
it's obvious this isn't a mining
company.
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It's a mispriced gold cash flow
engine.
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It gets better if they scale
production toward 25,000 oz per
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year, which is possible with
their underground development
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and current infrastructure.
The free cash flow potential
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approaches $30 to 35,000,000
Canadian dollars annually.
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You're now into the 3X to 4X
revenue to enterprise value
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zone.
Most producers with this kind of
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margin get acquired.
That's not hype, that's just how
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the sector works.
Look at the comps in Quebec.
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Junior underground producers
with half the grade and lower
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margin are trading at two to
three times, Lion Ones multiple.
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In West Africa, projects with
lower recovery and higher CapEx
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have been bought out at premiums
of 400% or more.
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The reason Lion 1 trades at a
discount is location awareness,
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not fundamentals.
It's in Fiji, it's off radar,
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but geologically and financially
it's hitting elite numbers.
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And the optionality isn't just
academic Zone 500 deep under
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explored pressure rich could
change the entire model if
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confirmed.
Add to that the SKL loads and
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lateral expansion zones across
the caldera rim and you're
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looking at a gold system with
five to 10 year discovery
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potential baked in.
That's not future fantasy,
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that's current geometry
intersecting with mining
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execution.
Added up high grade or strong
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margins, real revenue model
beating geology plus exploration
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upside and evaluation multiple
that's wildly out of sync with
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what they're already delivering.
These are the numbers that
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00:11:48,040 --> 00:11:50,480
matter.
This is the data the market is
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00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:53,760
behind on and This is why the RE
rate window is opening right
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now.
Let's start with the numbers in
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front of us.
Lion 1 trades at $0.29.
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Our 12 month target is $0.90.
That's a clean 200% upside
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00:12:03,880 --> 00:12:07,120
driven by cash flow, ramping,
resource model upgrades and RE
201
00:12:07,120 --> 00:12:10,920
rating from producer status.
But the bigger picture, the full
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00:12:10,920 --> 00:12:15,240
7X path comes from scaling,
optionality and the type of
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00:12:15,240 --> 00:12:19,200
repricing that only happens once
a system proves it can grow and
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00:12:19,200 --> 00:12:23,360
operate at the same time.
Here's how the 1st 3X unfolds.
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00:12:23,680 --> 00:12:27,440
At 15,000 ounces of annual
production and dollar 1300 CAD
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00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:31,200
margin per oz, you're looking at
nearly $20 million in potential
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00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:33,560
operating cash flow.
Even if you slap on a
208
00:12:33,560 --> 00:12:37,960
conservative 8 times multiple,
that implies a $160 million
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00:12:37,960 --> 00:12:40,320
valuation.
Line 1's current enterprise
210
00:12:40,320 --> 00:12:45,520
value under $100 million.
That's how mispricing meets
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00:12:45,520 --> 00:12:48,480
execution, and the market hasn't
caught it yet.
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00:12:48,600 --> 00:12:51,600
But they're not stopping at
15,000 oz.
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00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:56,080
The road map targets 20,000 to
25,000 oz within two years
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00:12:56,320 --> 00:12:59,000
through deeper zone development
and additional underground
215
00:12:59,000 --> 00:13:01,760
access.
At that scale, and with margins
216
00:13:01,760 --> 00:13:06,960
holding, operating cash flow
could push $30 to 35,000,000
217
00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:10,480
Canadian dollars annually.
That puts them in the zone where
218
00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:13,960
majors start sniffing at a 10
times multiple.
219
00:13:14,000 --> 00:13:18,760
You're looking at a 300 to $350
million valuation.
220
00:13:19,240 --> 00:13:23,600
That's already 3X to 4X from
here, and we're still not
221
00:13:23,600 --> 00:13:26,520
including discovery upside.
That's what makes this a
222
00:13:26,520 --> 00:13:30,280
structured asymmetric play.
You get rewarded just for them
223
00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:34,600
executing unknown targets, but
if discovery zones like Zone 500
224
00:13:34,600 --> 00:13:38,000
or SKL hit big, the upside
explodes.
225
00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:41,120
Why?
Because gold systems that grow
226
00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:43,800
while producing always get
revalued.
227
00:13:44,200 --> 00:13:48,640
The market doesn't pay for.
Maybe it pays for both, Both
228
00:13:48,640 --> 00:13:52,160
ounces in cash flow, both
execution and expansion.
229
00:13:52,520 --> 00:13:56,080
That re rating process doesn't
happen gradually, it happens in
230
00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:58,960
steps.
First step, updated models
231
00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:02,080
reflect production.
Second step junior producer
232
00:14:02,080 --> 00:14:05,880
multiples kick in. 3rd step,
institutional money gets
233
00:14:05,880 --> 00:14:10,240
allocation permission once cash
flow stabilizes and forth the
234
00:14:10,240 --> 00:14:14,360
market starts comparing Lion One
to Canadian or African comms and
235
00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:17,000
realizes the multiple gap makes
no sense.
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00:14:17,320 --> 00:14:20,000
That's when volume spikes.
That's when the rear rate goes
237
00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:22,200
vertical.
And this isn't fantasy.
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00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:27,640
In 2020, Lion One hit 2 Canadian
dollars and 67 cents, 9 times
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00:14:27,640 --> 00:14:29,880
today's price.
Without production, without
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00:14:29,880 --> 00:14:31,960
margins.
And before the bonanza zones
241
00:14:31,960 --> 00:14:36,240
were drilled back then, the gold
market was hot and hype carried
242
00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:38,440
it.
Today they've got something
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00:14:38,440 --> 00:14:43,520
better results, margins and
that's why this time the RE
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00:14:43,520 --> 00:14:46,360
rating can stick.
The reason we call this A7X
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00:14:46,360 --> 00:14:49,480
opportunity is because the path
is sequential.
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00:14:49,960 --> 00:14:52,720
You don't need a miracle, you
just need the system to keep
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00:14:52,720 --> 00:14:54,960
proving itself, which it already
is.
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00:14:55,440 --> 00:15:00,120
Base case scale to 25,000 oz.
Hold margin RE rate to 10 times
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00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:03,160
cash flow.
That alone gets you to $2.00 to
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00:15:03,160 --> 00:15:08,080
$2.25 CAD Add in bonanza
extensions or deep feeder
251
00:15:08,080 --> 00:15:11,800
confirmation from zone 500.
That's how you build a multi
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00:15:11,800 --> 00:15:15,320
million ounce system and that's
how 7X becomes reality.
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00:15:15,480 --> 00:15:18,960
It's rare to get a setup where
downsides already collapsed.
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00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:24,200
This stock traded 9X higher in
2020 and upside is still wide
255
00:15:24,200 --> 00:15:26,800
open.
Lion 1 isn't asking you to
256
00:15:26,800 --> 00:15:30,160
believe in a dream, They're
asking you to recognize that the
257
00:15:30,160 --> 00:15:34,840
work is already paying off and
the market hasn't adjusted yet.
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00:15:35,040 --> 00:15:38,800
And that's the window before the
funds model it, before the
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00:15:38,800 --> 00:15:41,920
analysts upgrade it, before the
RE rate kicks in.
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00:15:42,640 --> 00:15:45,560
You're not buying a concept,
you're buying a miss price
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00:15:45,560 --> 00:15:49,720
system that's generating real
cash in a $3300 gold market.
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00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:53,040
The vault is open, the ramp is
clear.
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00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:58,440
The only thing left is timing.
So here's the map $0.29 to $0.90
264
00:15:58,440 --> 00:16:03,600
on math, $0.90 to $2.00 on
scale, and $2.00 to 7X if the
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00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:06,480
system proves deep, wide, and
rich.
266
00:16:07,320 --> 00:16:10,200
All it takes is the market
catching up to what the drill
267
00:16:10,200 --> 00:16:12,040
cores and revenue lines already
know.
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00:16:12,360 --> 00:16:16,280
Let's be honest, every
asymmetric setup comes with edge
269
00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:19,440
and exposure, So what could go
wrong here?
270
00:16:19,760 --> 00:16:25,040
The biggest risk is operational.
Lion 1 is an underground narrow
271
00:16:25,040 --> 00:16:28,040
vein producer.
That means things like equipment
272
00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:32,880
uptime, mining precision, and
vein targeting matter a lot more
273
00:16:32,880 --> 00:16:35,760
than they do in large open pit
operations.
274
00:16:36,160 --> 00:16:39,560
If they miss veins, misfire on
drill angles or run into
275
00:16:39,560 --> 00:16:43,480
development delays, production
could slip and the RE rate gets
276
00:16:43,480 --> 00:16:45,720
postponed.
Then there's financing risk.
277
00:16:46,360 --> 00:16:49,720
Juniors typically need capital
to grow, and if sentiment turns
278
00:16:49,720 --> 00:16:52,920
or execution lags line, one
could be forced to raise equity
279
00:16:52,920 --> 00:16:55,960
at a weak price.
That creates dilution, and
280
00:16:55,960 --> 00:16:58,240
investors hate that.
The good news?
281
00:16:58,640 --> 00:17:00,160
So far?
They've raised smart.
282
00:17:00,480 --> 00:17:03,440
Their balance sheet isn't
bloated, and they've used equity
283
00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:06,359
and credit in ways that support
the mine, not inflate the
284
00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:08,400
office.
But this is something to watch.
285
00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:11,760
Political risk.
It's actually lower than most
286
00:17:11,760 --> 00:17:14,920
people think.
Fiji has a long mining history
287
00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:17,640
and is seen as relatively stable
in the Pacific.
288
00:17:18,240 --> 00:17:23,599
But geopolitical drift is real.
Regulatory rules can change,
289
00:17:23,839 --> 00:17:27,760
community relations matter, and
remote infrastructure still
290
00:17:27,760 --> 00:17:31,480
makes everything harder, from
shipping reagents to flying in
291
00:17:31,480 --> 00:17:33,840
parts.
If the government shifts stance
292
00:17:33,840 --> 00:17:37,200
or supply chains break,
operations slow down.
293
00:17:37,680 --> 00:17:41,840
Another risk is grade control.
Bonanza hits are amazing, but
294
00:17:41,840 --> 00:17:45,400
they're also highly variable.
If the average grade drops or
295
00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:49,440
recovery dips below 80%, margins
can get squeezed fast.
296
00:17:49,800 --> 00:17:52,320
And when margins drop, so does
valuation.
297
00:17:52,760 --> 00:17:55,120
That's why consistency is
everything here.
298
00:17:55,480 --> 00:17:58,400
The company needs to keep
hitting month after month.
299
00:17:58,680 --> 00:18:01,360
But now let's talk about the
edge, Because what makes this
300
00:18:01,360 --> 00:18:05,320
setup powerful is that Lion 1
isn't exposed the way most
301
00:18:05,320 --> 00:18:07,960
juniors are.
First, they're vertically
302
00:18:07,960 --> 00:18:10,360
integrated.
They own their drills.
303
00:18:10,600 --> 00:18:13,880
They own their lab.
They aren't waiting three months
304
00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:16,880
for assay results.
That means faster decision
305
00:18:16,880 --> 00:18:20,080
cycles and more control.
Second, they're not in a
306
00:18:20,080 --> 00:18:23,720
spending spiral.
Many juniors burn millions just
307
00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:26,400
doing investor Rd. shows and
redoing PowerPoints.
308
00:18:27,040 --> 00:18:30,600
Line 1 is doing the opposite.
They're spending underground, on
309
00:18:30,600 --> 00:18:34,120
Stokes, on declines, on real
infrastructure.
310
00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:36,120
That's where conviction shows
up.
311
00:18:36,640 --> 00:18:38,920
Not in the deck in the
development.
312
00:18:39,200 --> 00:18:42,080
And third, they have geology on
their side.
313
00:18:42,520 --> 00:18:46,480
This isn't a single vein hope.
This is a system.
314
00:18:47,080 --> 00:18:50,720
A Chaldera scale alkaline gold
environment with multiple
315
00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:53,400
targets.
Deep feeder potential in lateral
316
00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:55,920
expansion zones that could
extend for years.
317
00:18:56,440 --> 00:19:01,040
Systems create options and
options reduce risk because if
318
00:19:01,040 --> 00:19:04,320
one zone under delivers, another
could over deliver.
319
00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:07,120
That's how you build resilience
into a thesis.
320
00:19:07,320 --> 00:19:11,680
So yes, there are red flags.
That's why the stocks at $0.29.
321
00:19:12,120 --> 00:19:14,960
If there weren't risks, the
opportunity wouldn't exist.
322
00:19:15,320 --> 00:19:19,800
But line 1 is actively reducing
those risks and that's what
323
00:19:19,800 --> 00:19:22,960
separates us from height based
juniors who drill headlines and
324
00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:26,400
dilute into oblivion.
This is a company building
325
00:19:26,400 --> 00:19:29,440
forward underground, inch by
inch.
326
00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:35,680
In asymmetric trades, the goal
isn't 0 risk, it's edge adjusted
327
00:19:35,680 --> 00:19:39,240
risk where the downside is
limited and the upside is
328
00:19:39,240 --> 00:19:43,640
structurally unfair.
Lion One's downside is execution
329
00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:47,960
based, but the upside?
It's in the system, the rock,
330
00:19:48,520 --> 00:19:51,720
the model, and the gap between
where the market is and where
331
00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:55,280
the cash flow says it should be.
Let's pull it all together.
332
00:19:56,360 --> 00:19:59,800
ONE isn't just drilling gold,
it's producing it.
333
00:20:00,120 --> 00:20:04,640
They're selling Oz into a $3300
market with 47% margins, and
334
00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:07,760
more than half of their current
output isn't even in the model.
335
00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:11,720
That's not early stage hype,
that's operational upside.
336
00:20:12,240 --> 00:20:15,040
And the stock is still just
$0.29.
337
00:20:15,200 --> 00:20:17,400
We've seen this before,
companies that cross from
338
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:20,120
explorer to producer.
While the market lags behind
339
00:20:20,520 --> 00:20:23,760
when execution outpaces
expectation, the RE rate is
340
00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:26,240
inevitable.
The upside here is mapped,
341
00:20:26,280 --> 00:20:29,720
measured and misunderstood.
So how do you position for it?
342
00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:33,560
Let's breakdown 5 real make
money strategies, starting with
343
00:20:33,560 --> 00:20:35,760
how to build the trade.
Strategy one.
344
00:20:35,920 --> 00:20:40,560
Use volatility to layer in.
Track the 10 day ADR percent if
345
00:20:40,560 --> 00:20:44,800
line 1 drops more than 1.5 times
its average daily range without
346
00:20:44,840 --> 00:20:47,920
any negative news.
That's a buy zone scale and
347
00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:51,480
gradually think in units.
You might start with one to two
348
00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:55,000
units for conviction and reserve
more for high volume dips.
349
00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:59,800
This stock is too illiquid to
chase, but too asymmetric to
350
00:20:59,800 --> 00:21:02,840
ignore.
Strategy two Hedge with GDXJ,
351
00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:07,680
Sell puts during gold drawdowns.
For example, if GDXJ dips 3 to
352
00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:12,720
4% and implied volatility rises,
sell a put one strike below that
353
00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:16,040
income can offset drawdown on
Leo or fund new entries.
354
00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:19,720
You're using large cap liquidity
to extract premium while holding
355
00:21:19,720 --> 00:21:22,760
asymmetric small cap exposure.
That's edge stocking.
356
00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:28,640
Strategy 3 Own physical gold.
This isn't a trade, this is the
357
00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:31,080
foundation.
Think in tears.
358
00:21:31,080 --> 00:21:35,240
Start with coins, Maple Leafs,
Philharmonic's or American
359
00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:38,040
Eagles.
Then move to bars if conviction
360
00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:41,480
builds, stack fractional if
flexibility matters.
361
00:21:41,920 --> 00:21:44,960
This isn't about panic, it's
about preparedness.
362
00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:48,480
Lion 1 is the play, but gold is
the anchor.
363
00:21:48,680 --> 00:21:53,440
Strategy 4 barbell with Bitcoin
Use 10 to 20% of your portfolio
364
00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:56,280
to create a non correlated hard
asset exposure.
365
00:21:56,760 --> 00:22:00,600
Gold gives you density, Bitcoin
gives you velocity. 1 is the
366
00:22:00,600 --> 00:22:04,040
vault, the other is the wire.
Together, they've historically
367
00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:07,200
performed best in periods of
trust, decay, and currency and
368
00:22:07,200 --> 00:22:09,080
stability.
Strategy five.
369
00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:13,320
Run a core plus trade overlay.
Keep a core position untouched.
370
00:22:13,360 --> 00:22:15,840
This is your 7X potential around
it.
371
00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:19,880
Trade the chart.
Use oversold RSI or Bollinger
372
00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:21,840
band breakdowns for tactical
ads.
373
00:22:22,240 --> 00:22:24,560
Sell 10 to 20% into vertical
moves.
374
00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:26,960
If volume triples, then
rebalance.
375
00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:29,680
That's how you turn long term
conviction into short term
376
00:22:29,680 --> 00:22:32,680
optionality.
And stay tuned for catalysts.
377
00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:36,560
Watch for the next mineral
resource update, expansion of
378
00:22:36,560 --> 00:22:41,320
Zone 500, consistent production
volume above 5000 oz per quarter
379
00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:45,040
and any M&A interest flagged in
financials or filings.
380
00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:48,880
Those are the moments the market
wakes up and the RE rating
381
00:22:48,880 --> 00:22:52,720
becomes reflexive.
Final thought, this isn't about
382
00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:56,560
predicting goal, it's about
positioning inside the vault
383
00:22:56,680 --> 00:22:58,240
before the market changes the
lock.
384
00:22:59,040 --> 00:23:02,640
At $0.29 you're not buying
perfection, you're buying
385
00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:06,680
mispriced geology, mispriced
margin, and mispriced time.
386
00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:10,200
And time, once it compresses
moves fast.
387
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:15,360
This is why we built Make Money
to find systems before they get
388
00:23:15,360 --> 00:23:20,360
priced as systems, to decode
risk into strategy, to transform
389
00:23:20,360 --> 00:23:26,200
story into structure and line.
One right now checks every box.
390
00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:30,080
If this episode gave you an
edge, here's what to do next.
391
00:23:30,280 --> 00:23:33,280
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392
00:23:33,360 --> 00:23:37,600
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408
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409
00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:33,840
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413
00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:46,760
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414
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416
00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:56,400
Stay strategic, stay focused and
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417
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We'll see you next time.