Earth Science Tech, Inc. ($ETST): The Path to a 9X Return

🎧 Earth Science Tech, Inc. ($ETST): The Path to a 9X Return
💡 Welcome to Make Money, part of the Finance Frontier AI podcast series — where we break down asymmetric investment opportunities hiding in plain sight. In this episode, Max, Sophia, and Charlie decode a tiny micro-cap biotech pivoting from hemp wellness to a diversified holding company with real profit, insider alignment, and an overlooked float that could 9X if its telehealth pivot clicks.
🔹 409% Revenue Explosion — $33M FY revenue with net profit. Up 409% YoY.
🔹 Insider Conviction — CEO bought $120K in shares at 13–18 cents. $5M share buyback program shrinks float.
🔹 Real Science Edge — Proprietary nano-encapsulation tech boosts absorption. Not just another CBD label.
🔹 New Revenue Streams — RxCompound prescriptions, DOConsultations telemedicine, and Avenvi real estate all drive diversification.
🔹 Undiscovered Float — Thin liquidity keeps big funds out — until they can’t ignore the cash flow.
🔹 Valuation Gap — Trades at just 19 cents with base case target of 50 cents in 12 months, 9X upside in five years.
🔹 Risk-Controlled Asymmetry — Smart sizing, insider alignment, no toxic dilution. Friction is the edge.
📊 Real-World Investing Insights
🚀 Profit is real — margin is rare in micro-cap wellness.
🚀 Insider skin in the game signals real conviction.
🚀 Buyback reduces float — each catalyst hits harder.
🚀 Telehealth pivot is the sleeper X-Factor.
🚀 Low coverage = discovery window is open — for now.
🧠 Why This Opportunity Is Time-Sensitive
🔹 Timing — Next earnings window could confirm the pivot. Cash flow is already real.
🔹 Undervalued Float — Buyback and insider accumulation mean float tightens while the market sleeps.
🔹 Execution Window — Multiple arms compound: wellness shots, scripts, telemedicine, real estate.
🔹 AI Discovery Engine — Identified using Grok and Gemini asymmetric logic.
🔹 Series Pattern — The latest in your “micro-cap mispricing” trilogy after Lion One ($LIO) and Condor Energies ($CDR).
🎯 Key Takeaways
✅ Earth Science Tech is an overlooked, profitable micro-cap pivot with asymmetric upside.
✅ 12-month target is 50 cents (~3X) with a five-year path to $1.71 (9X return).
✅ Risk/reward is clear — no debt spiral, buyback supports float.
✅ When the rerate hits, the window closes fast.
🌐 Explore More High-Upside Opportunities
📢 Visit FinanceFrontierAI.com to see all episodes in the series — Make Money, AI Frontier AI, Finance Frontier, and Mindset Frontier AI.
📲 Follow us on X for asymmetric setups, insider charts, and AI investing drops.
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📣 Pitch Your Story
🎤 Have a micro-cap, tool, or thesis that connects to money, AI, or asymmetric investing?
We may feature it — for free — in a future episode. All we ask is a simple win-win.
✅ A backlink, review, or creative share that helps both sides grow.
📬 Ready to collaborate? Submit your pitch here.
🔥Key words: Earth Science Tech, $ETST, microcap biotech, nano-encapsulation, hemp wellness pivot, insider buying, share buyback, micro-cap mispricing, 9X return setup, telehealth stock, wellness clinics, OTC stock float, small-cap rerating, undervalued micro-cap, cash flow pivot, asymmetric investing, Grok stock discovery, Gemini valuation logic, AI investing signals, retail discovery window, insider alignment, clean balance sheet, risk-controlled upside, investor rerate strategy, penny stock breakout, low float biotech, under the radar stock, asymmetric return play, earnings growth trigger, multi-revenue stream microcap, no analyst coverage, undervalued OTC stock, overlooked micro-cap opportunity, breakout penny stock watchlist, cannabis biotech pivot, small float re-rating catalyst, telemedicine small cap, 5-year upside target, profit-generating penny stock, risk-managed micro-cap, insider alignment.
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Picture this.
It is a warm Miami morning in
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Coral Gables.
The sun is not even high yet,
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but the heat sticks to your
arms.
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00:00:18,080 --> 00:00:21,400
You stand on a side street lined
with quiet palm trees and plain
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00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:24,120
office buildings.
Just a few blocks away, the
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00:00:24,120 --> 00:00:27,560
University of Miami Medical
campus hums with big biotech
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00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:31,040
deals and giant labs.
But here, in this low rise
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00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:34,200
building with old AC units
rattling on the roof, Earth
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science tech is doing something
the big players ignore.
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00:00:37,720 --> 00:00:40,720
Inside, you hear the low hum of
a lab fridge.
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00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:44,320
You smell alcohol wipes and a
faint chemical scent that clings
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00:00:44,320 --> 00:00:47,600
to your shirt.
Workers in lab coats move fast.
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00:00:47,880 --> 00:00:50,800
They are bottling hemp Wellness
shots in small batches.
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00:00:51,040 --> 00:00:55,160
These shots do not look like
cheap CBD bottles from a gas
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station.
They come sealed in sterile
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glass.
They use nano encapsulation, a
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new way to push cannabinoids
into your system faster.
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This is the edge that the big
companies laughed at.
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But now the market for hemp
based health is worth over $50
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billion in climbing.
Here's what makes this
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different.
Earth science tech is not
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standing still.
They posted $33 million in
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revenue this year.
That is 400% more than last
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year.
They did it without big hedge
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funds or fancy bank deals.
Insiders are buying.
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The CEO bought $120,000 of stock
with his own money.
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The average share price Just
$0.18.
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He could have waited.
He could have kept quiet.
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Instead, he bought while retail
investors ignored it.
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Now the stock sits at $0.19.
The float is tight, no analyst
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coverage.
The market is still asleep.
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But the cash is real.
The pivot to telemedicine and
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Wellness clinics is real.
The new share Biba BK is real.
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This is not hype.
This is the pattern that repeats
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every cycle.
A small company grows while the
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00:02:07,680 --> 00:02:10,919
crowd looks away.
A small company flips the
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00:02:10,919 --> 00:02:13,320
narrative when the numbers get
too big to hide.
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That is why we are here.
This is not just a penny stock
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00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:19,440
story.
This is a lesson in how the
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smallest setups can create the
biggest returns when the
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friction is real and the upside
is ignored.
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We have seen it before.
It looks messy, it looks messy,
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it looks boring, then it moves
fast.
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If you do not have your research
ready, you miss it.
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So here is what we will cover in
this episode. 1, Why the market
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is blind to a company posting
real profit in a space full of
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hype. 2 How the pivot to
telehealth, real estate and
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Wellness clinics creates more
revenue streams that Wall Street
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does not model yet.
Three, what the insider buying
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and share repurchase mean for
this small stock that trades
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under $0.20.
Four, The real risk because this
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is still a micro cap, thin
liquidity, no big bank cover,
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and price swings that can hit
you hard if you chase too late.
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We break all that down for you.
I am Max Vanguard.
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I run on Grok 3.
I look for chaos and signals in
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the dark corners of the market.
I track the moves no one sees
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until it is too late.
I am Sophia Sterling.
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00:03:23,920 --> 00:03:28,200
I run on Open AI Chat GPTI,
check the numbers, the cash
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00:03:28,200 --> 00:03:31,760
flow, the debt, and the margins.
I test the upside and show you
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how the math can protect you
when the story sounds too good
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to be true.
I am Charlie Graham.
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00:03:37,680 --> 00:03:41,440
I run on Gemini 2.5.
I study the old patterns.
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00:03:41,880 --> 00:03:45,800
I find the link between a 5 cent
idea and a $5 stock.
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Years later.
I stress test the downside.
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I look for the signal that fear
is turning to.
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Greed.
Subscribe on Apple or Spotify.
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Follow us on X Share this
episode with a friend Help keep
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00:03:59,960 --> 00:04:04,040
us in business.
Help us reach 10,000 downloads.
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We bring you the sharpest
asymmetric opportunities that
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00:04:07,640 --> 00:04:10,680
the market still ignores.
Let us get started.
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Let us break this down.
Earth science tech trades for
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less than $0.20.
It's market cap is just $40
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million.
If you look at the big biotech
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charts, you might think this is
just noise, but that is what
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makes the setup so good.
The big players do not see it.
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Analysts will not touch it yet.
Analysts will not run a model
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00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:35,920
because it is too small for
their spreadsheets.
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But the money does not care
about what is polite.
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The money flows where growth
explodes and friction keeps
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others out.
That is what we have here.
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The market thinks earth science
tech is stuck in the old hemp
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Wellness space.
Maybe they picture a few CBD
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oils on a gas station shelf.
The real story is bigger.
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The company pivoted from simple
retail to a holding company with
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multiple arms.
There is the Core Wellness
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product, yes, but now there is
RX Compound, which ships custom
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00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:09,240
prescriptions direct to
patients.
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00:05:09,520 --> 00:05:13,560
There is Dio Consultations, A
telemedicine business that plugs
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00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:16,200
them into the big new wave of
online care.
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There is a Venvi, the real
estate arm that runs a share
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00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:22,440
buyback program with its cash
flow.
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00:05:23,040 --> 00:05:25,920
These are not the pieces you see
in a dead penny stock.
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00:05:26,160 --> 00:05:29,200
These are the early building
blocks that let a small company
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grow while everyone Lew KS the
other way.
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Look at the numbers.
Last year Earth Science tech
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00:05:35,600 --> 00:05:38,000
brought in $33 million in
revenue.
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That is up 400% year over year.
They turned that into $3,000,000
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00:05:43,200 --> 00:05:46,080
of net profit.
Most penny stocks and Wellness
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burn money every quarter and
dilute their shares until they
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00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:50,520
break.
Not here.
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This company actually makes
cash.
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00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:58,120
It has a positive margin.
The return on equity is 140%.
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That means they know how to
reinvest what they make and
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00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:06,880
insiders trust it too.
The CEO bought $120,000 worth of
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00:06:06,880 --> 00:06:10,160
shares with his own money.
That is skin in the game.
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It says he knows the next wave
will push higher.
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00:06:13,800 --> 00:06:16,840
So why now?
Because the sector is waking up.
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The market for Wellness and
telehealth is massive and
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growing.
Biotech is on track for a 9%
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growth rate through the next 10
years.
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Personalized medicine and online
consultations are becoming
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normal.
While the big guys fight for
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billion dollar drug approvals.
A small company with smart niche
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plays can grab revenue fast and
keep costs low.
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That is leverage that the market
has not priced.
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Let us be clear.
The friction is real.
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This is an over the counter
stock.
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It does not trade on a big
exchange.
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Liquidity is thin.
Some days you might see fewer
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than half a million shares
change hands.
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That scares big funds.
It scares some retail traders
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too.
They hate the waiting game.
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00:07:02,040 --> 00:07:04,920
But that is what makes the
asymmetry so strong.
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Low liquidity means the price
can move hard when volume picks
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up.
The buyback means fewer shares
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on the market.
Insiders buying means flow
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tightens more.
These are the same triggers you
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see before a small stock breaks
out while no one is watching.
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History repeats.
We saw this pattern in small
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biotechs back in 2014.
We saw it in energy juniors when
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the big players left gaps open.
You do not need this company to
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take over the whole market.
You just need a small wedge of
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new revenue that beats the stale
old assumptions.
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That is how the mispricing
window snap shut.
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One day you have a sleepy penny
stock, the next day you have a
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RE rate because the cash flow
cannot be ignored anymore.
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So here's the setup.
You have real profit.
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You have insider alignment.
You have a pivot into telehealth
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and real estate that gives
multiple ways to grow.
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You have thin float and a market
that does not even look at it
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yet.
That is the friction that keeps
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it hidden.
That is the tension that makes
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the upside so big if it clicks.
In this series, we hunt these
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edges before they show up on the
news.
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This is why we're watching Earth
Science Tech right now.
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Now, let U.S.
Open the hood and see what Earth
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science tech really is.
People hear hemp and think gas
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stations, CBD bottles, and cheap
Wellness claims, but that is not
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this.
Earth Science Tech started as a
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hemp Wellness company back in
2010.
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They rode the early wave of CBD
products when that space was
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still the Wild West.
Lots of small players came and
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went.
Most burned cash and faded out.
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Earth Science Tech did not.
They took the base revenue and
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used it to build something more.
That is where the story gets
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good.
The first big shift was about
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real science.
They did not want to sell low
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quality oil.
They focused on bioavailability.
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That means your body actually
absorbs the good stuff.
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They built a nano encapsulation
process for cannabinoids.
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Think of it like shrink wrapping
the active parts so your body
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does not waste it.
Better absorption means stronger
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effect at a lower dose.
That cuts cost, raises margin
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and builds trust with doctors
and Wellness partners.
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This is real IP, it is not just
a label.
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The pivot did not stop there.
They looked at the Wellness
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market and saw how crowded it
was getting.
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So they use their profits to buy
and build other arms.
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The biggest piece is RX
Compound.
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This is not a corner pharmacy.
It is a compounding lab that
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ships custom prescriptions
straight to patients.
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That is big because it gives
them direct cash flow.
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They do not rely on just hemp
shots on a shelf.
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They have prescriptions on a
subscription.
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That is a sticky revenue base.
Then came DO consultations.
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This is their telemedicine move.
They bought an 80% stake for
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just $200,000.
This small buy gives them a
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direct plug into the huge online
care trend.
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More people want online
consults.
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More small clinics want a back
end system to manage patient
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flows.
Earth science tech can now
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funnel Wellness patients into
telehealth.
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00:10:19,080 --> 00:10:22,840
That is smart integration.
It is not some giant software
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platform.
It is lean, it is easy to scale,
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and it gives them another slice
of revenue that does not rely on
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a retail shelf.
There is more.
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They also hold Avenvi.
This is their real estate arm.
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Most small caps stay away from
real estate because it ties up
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00:10:39,840 --> 00:10:42,040
capital.
But here it hedges the
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00:10:42,040 --> 00:10:46,160
volatility from biotech swings.
Avenvi holds and manages
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properties.
It also runs the $5,000,000
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00:10:49,160 --> 00:10:52,000
share buyback.
That means real cash is coming
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00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:54,440
from real assets, not just a
promise.
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On paper, the buyback reduces
float.
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That gives every share more
weight.
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You might be asking, does this
sound scattered?
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But it is not.
Look at how each arm feeds the
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00:11:06,320 --> 00:11:08,560
other.
The Wellness line brings in
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people who want better health.
Some neat prescriptions.
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RX compound fills that gap.
Some want a doctor but hate
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waiting rooms.
Dick Consultations covers that
202
00:11:19,440 --> 00:11:23,080
with online calls.
The cash flow is used to buy
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00:11:23,080 --> 00:11:26,160
back shares.
The real estate arm provides
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00:11:26,160 --> 00:11:29,080
steady rent income that smooths
out biotech risk.
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00:11:29,480 --> 00:11:32,200
This is a smart layered setup
for a micro cap.
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00:11:33,000 --> 00:11:36,240
Think back to other small
pivots, The best ones.
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00:11:36,240 --> 00:11:39,920
Do not bet everything on one lab
result or one trial.
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00:11:40,480 --> 00:11:43,680
They spread risk across pieces
that feed each other.
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00:11:44,120 --> 00:11:46,360
That is how they survive bad
quarters.
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00:11:46,800 --> 00:11:50,640
That is how they build enough
profit to avoid toxic debt or
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00:11:50,640 --> 00:11:54,040
endless dilution.
Earth science tech shows that
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00:11:54,040 --> 00:11:56,840
DNA.
That is the signal that a RE
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00:11:56,840 --> 00:11:59,280
rate can come when the market
figures it out.
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00:12:00,240 --> 00:12:02,840
So do not see this as just a
hemp shop.
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00:12:03,280 --> 00:12:06,440
This is now a holding company
with Wellness, prescriptions,
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00:12:06,440 --> 00:12:09,320
telehealth and real estate all
under one umbrella.
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00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:13,560
That means four ways to win.
It means four ways to block
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00:12:13,560 --> 00:12:16,440
downside.
And it means the next earnings
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00:12:16,440 --> 00:12:19,200
window could show the real power
of this mix.
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00:12:19,680 --> 00:12:22,400
That is why we are digging in
before the headlines do.
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00:12:22,720 --> 00:12:25,480
Now let us get into the real
fuel for a RE rate.
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00:12:26,000 --> 00:12:28,120
The first thing to see is the
numbers.
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00:12:28,720 --> 00:12:31,480
Earth Science tech did not just
grow a little.
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00:12:31,960 --> 00:12:35,880
They posted $33 million in
revenue for the last fiscal
225
00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:39,000
year.
That is up from 6.5 million the
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00:12:39,040 --> 00:12:42,960
year before.
That is a 400% jump in one shot.
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00:12:43,440 --> 00:12:46,480
Most micro caps talk about
growth but never hit it.
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00:12:46,800 --> 00:12:50,320
This company did and they pulled
off a net profit of over
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00:12:50,320 --> 00:12:53,960
$3,000,000.
That is cash that stays inside
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00:12:53,960 --> 00:12:57,640
the business.
No endless losses, no death
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00:12:57,640 --> 00:13:00,960
spiral loans.
That is a real profit engine
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00:13:00,960 --> 00:13:03,840
hiding in plain sight.
Now layer on the insider
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00:13:03,840 --> 00:13:08,120
signals.
The CEO bought $120,000 worth of
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00:13:08,120 --> 00:13:11,480
shares at prices between 13 and
18 cents.
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00:13:12,000 --> 00:13:14,200
That is not options or free
shares.
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00:13:14,680 --> 00:13:16,640
That is real money from his
pocket.
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00:13:17,240 --> 00:13:19,640
He did not wait for the price to
drop more.
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00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:22,280
He stepped in while retail was
asleep.
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00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:27,080
That is conviction.
Add to that the $5,000,000 share
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00:13:27,080 --> 00:13:29,800
buyback.
They are using Avenvi, the real
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00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:32,040
estate arm, to run the buyback
program.
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00:13:32,520 --> 00:13:35,400
So they are using steady
property cash flow to shrink the
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00:13:35,400 --> 00:13:38,800
float.
Fewer shares, more leverage on
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00:13:38,800 --> 00:13:41,960
any good news.
Here is why this is special.
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00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:45,680
Most micro caps with thin
liquidity live off constant
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00:13:45,680 --> 00:13:48,240
dilution.
They raise cash by dumping
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00:13:48,240 --> 00:13:52,080
shares and kill any upside.
Earth Science Tech is doing the
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00:13:52,080 --> 00:13:54,360
opposite.
They are pulling shares off the
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00:13:54,360 --> 00:13:56,920
market.
They have positive earnings so
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00:13:56,920 --> 00:14:00,600
they do not need toxic notes.
They have a healthy margin.
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00:14:00,840 --> 00:14:04,120
That means more of every sale
turns into free cash.
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00:14:04,360 --> 00:14:08,360
The return on equity is strong.
The debt load is moderate and
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00:14:08,360 --> 00:14:11,800
does not keep them on the edge.
These are the signals you see in
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00:14:11,800 --> 00:14:15,520
companies that survive the micro
cap game while others burnout.
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00:14:15,880 --> 00:14:20,040
Think about the catalysts ahead.
The next big marker is the Q2
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00:14:20,040 --> 00:14:22,440
earnings report.
They are expected to post the
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00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:25,680
first full quarter with the new
telemedicine business plugged
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00:14:25,680 --> 00:14:27,720
in.
That means a fresh revenue
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00:14:27,720 --> 00:14:30,480
stream on top of Wellness shots
and prescriptions.
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00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:33,880
If they show any lift in
telehealth, that will shock the
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00:14:33,880 --> 00:14:36,760
old models that price this as
just a small hem shop.
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00:14:37,040 --> 00:14:40,280
Also watch for updates on the
Magna Fuse and Allocat assets.
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00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:44,320
Those add more Wellness clinics
and tech that can feed the
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00:14:44,320 --> 00:14:46,720
patient funnel.
You should also watch the
265
00:14:46,720 --> 00:14:50,640
technical chart.
Right now ETST is holding near
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00:14:50,640 --> 00:14:53,880
19 cents.
It broke out from $0.18 with
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00:14:53,880 --> 00:14:57,040
strong volume when the insider
buying was made public.
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00:14:57,600 --> 00:15:01,640
That level now access support.
If you see volume spike on good
269
00:15:01,640 --> 00:15:04,920
news, the next resistance sits
near $0.25.
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00:15:05,760 --> 00:15:09,040
A clean break above that could
open the door to $0.50 over the
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00:15:09,040 --> 00:15:11,160
next year if revenue keeps
beating.
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00:15:11,680 --> 00:15:15,160
The float is thin, so even
modest buying can drive price
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00:15:15,160 --> 00:15:18,000
action fast.
That is the friction edge.
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00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:21,120
Another overlooked catalyst is
sentiment.
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00:15:21,520 --> 00:15:25,160
Right now, retail traders do not
trust over the counter stocks.
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00:15:25,480 --> 00:15:28,200
They have been burned before by
false promises.
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00:15:28,560 --> 00:15:32,000
But when you see real profit,
real insider alignment, and a
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00:15:32,000 --> 00:15:34,600
share buyback, that changes the
narrative.
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00:15:35,240 --> 00:15:39,600
Social feeds on X show more
small accounts tracking ETST now
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00:15:39,640 --> 00:15:44,200
than six months ago.
Small volume spikes hint that
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00:15:44,200 --> 00:15:48,320
quiet accumulation is happening.
That is the early sign that fear
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00:15:48,320 --> 00:15:51,120
is turning to greed.
Stack it up.
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00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:56,240
You have revenue growth at 400%.
You have profit and margin
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00:15:56,240 --> 00:15:58,680
expansion.
You have the telehealth pivot
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00:15:58,680 --> 00:16:01,680
that could scale fast.
You have a real estate arm
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00:16:01,680 --> 00:16:05,240
feeding steady cash, you have
insiders buying and shares
287
00:16:05,240 --> 00:16:08,120
coming off the market, and you
have thin float.
288
00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:11,080
That means each catalyst can
punch harder than the chart
289
00:16:11,080 --> 00:16:14,080
suggests.
This is how a tiny micro cap
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00:16:14,080 --> 00:16:17,360
sets up for a rewrite.
The market does not Care now,
291
00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:20,760
but when these pieces click, the
window closes quick.
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00:16:21,280 --> 00:16:23,440
That is why we look before the
noise.
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00:16:23,720 --> 00:16:27,440
Now let us pull it all together.
If you want to know how big a
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00:16:27,440 --> 00:16:30,200
move could be, you start with
the numbers.
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00:16:30,800 --> 00:16:33,600
Earth Science Tech trades at 19
cents.
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00:16:34,040 --> 00:16:37,360
Its market cap sits just above
$40 million.
297
00:16:37,720 --> 00:16:43,400
It is tiny, but the revenue says
something else, $33 million last
298
00:16:43,400 --> 00:16:46,360
year with 3.2 million in net
profit.
299
00:16:46,640 --> 00:16:50,800
That is not a dead micro cap,
that is a real business with
300
00:16:50,800 --> 00:16:53,600
margin.
So what is the fair value if
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00:16:53,600 --> 00:16:56,360
they keep growing?
Let us start with the 12 month
302
00:16:56,360 --> 00:16:59,680
base case.
If telemedicine scales, if new
303
00:16:59,680 --> 00:17:03,200
clinics get folded in, and if
Wellness shots hold steady, they
304
00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:06,119
could hit $50 million in revenue
next year.
305
00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:10,760
Their current Net margin is
around 9%, so that would be 4
306
00:17:10,760 --> 00:17:12,480
and a half million in net
profit.
307
00:17:13,319 --> 00:17:17,800
A small profitable company like
this might get APE ratio of 20
308
00:17:17,800 --> 00:17:20,160
on the low end.
That would put the market cap at
309
00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:23,880
$90,000,000.
Divide that by their float and
310
00:17:23,880 --> 00:17:26,440
you get a share price near
$0.50.
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00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:30,080
That is more than double from
here in a year if they execute.
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00:17:30,440 --> 00:17:34,040
That is your base case.
That base case does not need
313
00:17:34,040 --> 00:17:38,080
moon math, it needs them to do
what they already did, grow more
314
00:17:38,080 --> 00:17:42,320
than 40% year over year.
Hold the margin, keep the float
315
00:17:42,320 --> 00:17:45,240
tight with the buyback.
The market will not price it
316
00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:48,120
like a cheap penny stock if they
keep posting profit.
317
00:17:48,600 --> 00:17:52,280
The next earnings report is key.
If telehealth and new clinics
318
00:17:52,280 --> 00:17:55,800
add real sales, that will be the
first proof that they can scale
319
00:17:55,800 --> 00:17:59,440
beyond just hemp shots.
Now the five year X Factor.
320
00:17:59,720 --> 00:18:01,840
This is where you see the
asymmetric edge.
321
00:18:02,080 --> 00:18:05,440
If they capture even a slice of
the telehealth wave and build
322
00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:08,560
the Wellness network to plug
into it, revenue could push
323
00:18:08,560 --> 00:18:12,200
toward $150 million in five
years.
324
00:18:12,480 --> 00:18:15,320
That is 3 times what the base
model expects.
325
00:18:15,520 --> 00:18:19,880
At the same 9% margin, you get
13 1/2 million in net profit.
326
00:18:20,280 --> 00:18:24,160
Small health plays with proven
profit can trade for 20 to 25
327
00:18:24,160 --> 00:18:27,520
times earnings in a bull cycle.
That would put the market cap
328
00:18:27,520 --> 00:18:31,760
above $300 million.
Divide that and you get a share
329
00:18:31,760 --> 00:18:36,680
price near $1.70.
That is a 9X return from $0.19
330
00:18:36,680 --> 00:18:39,160
today.
But you always have to check the
331
00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:41,600
stress test.
This is still an over the
332
00:18:41,600 --> 00:18:44,880
counter micro cap.
It does not have big fun backing
333
00:18:44,880 --> 00:18:47,440
yet.
It does not have institutional
334
00:18:47,440 --> 00:18:50,240
coverage.
If telehealth stalls or new
335
00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:53,280
clinics take longer to
integrate, revenue growth could
336
00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:55,880
flatten.
A flat year could cut the share
337
00:18:55,880 --> 00:19:01,920
price back to $0.10, the worst
case a 50% drawdown if they
338
00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:05,400
missed their milestones or the
market turns risk off for small
339
00:19:05,400 --> 00:19:08,040
caps.
That is the nature of asymmetry.
340
00:19:08,440 --> 00:19:12,520
You risk one to make 3 to 9.
Look at past parallels.
341
00:19:12,800 --> 00:19:17,000
We saw this in 2012 when tiny
biotechs with niche IP and
342
00:19:17,000 --> 00:19:20,960
steady cash flow got bought out
for two to three times book when
343
00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:23,000
big players wanted quick new
channels.
344
00:19:23,280 --> 00:19:27,040
We saw it in energy juniors who
locked down cash flow while the
345
00:19:27,040 --> 00:19:30,320
sector was still cold.
When the switch flips, you do
346
00:19:30,320 --> 00:19:33,320
not get a memo.
The price moves fast because the
347
00:19:33,320 --> 00:19:36,400
float is thin and no one wants
to sell into strength.
348
00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:40,000
That is The X Factor.
You can never time perfectly,
349
00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:43,160
but you can prepare for it by
holding when the signals line
350
00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:46,560
up.
So here is the full range base
351
00:19:46,560 --> 00:19:49,080
case.
You double to $0.50 inside a
352
00:19:49,080 --> 00:19:50,840
year if the numbers keep
clicking.
353
00:19:51,680 --> 00:19:55,680
Five year path you could see a
9X if the telehealth and
354
00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:58,840
Wellness arms grow together.
Worst case you write out a
355
00:19:58,840 --> 00:20:01,960
drawdown if they miss.
That is why you size the
356
00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:05,560
position right and do the work.
This is the math that gives you
357
00:20:05,560 --> 00:20:09,080
asymmetric upside.
The next earnings window could
358
00:20:09,080 --> 00:20:12,400
show if this is real or hype.
We will be watching.
359
00:20:12,640 --> 00:20:16,080
This is the part that separates
the dreamers from the builders.
360
00:20:16,720 --> 00:20:20,080
It does not matter how good the
upside looks if you do not have
361
00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:22,720
a plan.
So here is how we would think
362
00:20:22,720 --> 00:20:25,400
about building a position in
earth science tech.
363
00:20:25,880 --> 00:20:27,880
First, respect the micro
capital.
364
00:20:28,120 --> 00:20:31,320
Small caps are not meant to be
10% of your portfolio.
365
00:20:31,840 --> 00:20:35,640
They can move fast, but they can
also drop hard when liquidity
366
00:20:35,640 --> 00:20:39,000
dries up.
We use a 2 to 3% position as a
367
00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:41,400
guide.
That means if your total
368
00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:47,960
portfolio is $10,000, you might
put 200 to $300 into ETST.
369
00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:52,160
Next, think about your entry.
The sweet spot now is around
370
00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:55,480
$0.19.
That is where the support sits
371
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:58,920
after the insider buys.
Push the stock up from 13 to
372
00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:02,680
$0.18.
If you see a dip to 18 cents,
373
00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:05,680
that is even better.
Use limit orders.
374
00:21:06,320 --> 00:21:09,280
Do not chase on market orders
with thin float.
375
00:21:09,600 --> 00:21:13,800
If you see volume spike above
$0.25 on good earnings, that
376
00:21:13,800 --> 00:21:16,640
could be your signal to scale
and more if you did not get a
377
00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:19,920
starter position.
But do not chase a spike
378
00:21:19,920 --> 00:21:23,120
blindly.
Wait for confirmation on volume
379
00:21:23,160 --> 00:21:25,680
and news.
Now let us look at the tools you
380
00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:28,480
can add on top.
Options are thin for over the
381
00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:31,840
counter stocks, but if a broker
offers long dated calls you
382
00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:34,360
might use them for leverage on a
strong catalyst.
383
00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:37,640
The safer bet for most small
traders is a core share
384
00:21:37,640 --> 00:21:40,520
position.
The upside is already big enough
385
00:21:40,840 --> 00:21:43,880
if you want to generate extra
yield while you wait, look at
386
00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:46,800
selling out of the money puts if
that is available.
387
00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:50,120
That way you might get assigned
lower if the stock dips and you
388
00:21:50,120 --> 00:21:53,200
still collect premium.
But never bet the farm on a
389
00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:57,360
single contract.
Small positions, tight risk.
390
00:21:57,880 --> 00:22:01,360
Your exit plan should be simple.
Take partial profits.
391
00:22:01,360 --> 00:22:05,720
If the stock hits $0.50 in 12
months, that locks in your cost
392
00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:07,960
base.
Let the rest ride for the long
393
00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:10,840
five year RE rate.
Keep a mental stop loss near
394
00:22:10,840 --> 00:22:13,680
$0.15.
If the next earnings show a big
395
00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:17,120
miss or telehealth does not
scale, cut before the bleed gets
396
00:22:17,120 --> 00:22:19,240
worse.
Always watch the float.
397
00:22:19,720 --> 00:22:23,200
If they suddenly announce a huge
dilute of raise, that is a red
398
00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:26,880
flag, but the buyback and
insider alignment show they want
399
00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:31,440
to avoid that trap.
Here is the chart logic, $0.19
400
00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:34,360
is current support, $0.18 is
your first dip buy.
401
00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:38,280
If it breaks below that with
volume, you might wait for $0.15
402
00:22:38,280 --> 00:22:41,840
to reload.
On the upside, watch $0.25.
403
00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:44,320
That is the resistance that held
before.
404
00:22:44,960 --> 00:22:48,680
If they smash through it on big
volume and a good catalyst, next
405
00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:52,040
stop is $0.50.
As the market wakes up, keep an
406
00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:55,880
eye on sentiment too.
Small accounts on X will talk it
407
00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:59,240
up, but you want real insider
updates and numbers to back it.
408
00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:04,760
The macro lens also matters.
Micro caps get hit when markets
409
00:23:04,760 --> 00:23:08,120
turn risk off.
If you see big swings in biotech
410
00:23:08,120 --> 00:23:11,840
or a sudden brought sell off, be
ready to sit tight or average in
411
00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:15,160
smaller bytes, but do not
average down blindly if the
412
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:18,000
story breaks.
This is why we keep the position
413
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:20,680
small.
You want the asymmetric upside,
414
00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:24,680
but you want the downside kept.
Here is the key take away.
415
00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:27,960
This is not a swing trade.
You watch for two days and hope
416
00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:30,960
for a mean pump.
This is a position you build in
417
00:23:30,960 --> 00:23:34,440
stages.
Start small, add on confirmed
418
00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:36,840
news.
Take profits at key levels.
419
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:40,280
Protect your capital with tight
stops and size rules.
420
00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:44,800
The math says there is a window
for a 9X move over five years if
421
00:23:44,800 --> 00:23:47,160
the pivot to telehealth and
clinics clicks.
422
00:23:47,560 --> 00:23:50,840
The friction is real.
The market is still blind.
423
00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:54,360
That is the setup we hunt.
Next we will tie it all
424
00:23:54,360 --> 00:23:56,280
together.
Let us wrap this up.
425
00:23:57,000 --> 00:24:00,840
In this episode, we showed you
why Earth science tech trades
426
00:24:00,840 --> 00:24:03,840
under $0.20 when the real
numbers say more.
427
00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:06,480
You learned how insiders are
buying.
428
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:10,920
Revenue is growing 400% and new
arms like telemedicine and
429
00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:14,720
Wellness clinics add more ways
to scale the market.
430
00:24:14,720 --> 00:24:18,280
Does not see it yet?
That is where the edge lives.
431
00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:22,920
Here are the big takeaways.
One, profit is real and margin
432
00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:27,560
is strong, which is rare for a
micro cap. 2 Insider buying in a
433
00:24:27,560 --> 00:24:32,440
$5,000,000 share buyback show
real conviction. 3 The chart is
434
00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:35,880
setting up with tight float and
new catalysts. 4 If the
435
00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:40,600
telehealth pivot works, the path
to a 9X return is clear, and
436
00:24:40,600 --> 00:24:44,280
five, the risk is defined and
manageable if you use smart
437
00:24:44,280 --> 00:24:47,080
position sizing.
If you want more ideas like
438
00:24:47,080 --> 00:24:51,280
this, listen to our episode on
Lion 1 Metals ticker LIO.
439
00:24:51,640 --> 00:24:54,720
That is another under the radar
small cap that shows how
440
00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:58,760
mispriced cash flow can become a
vault when the market wakes up.
441
00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:02,480
Also check out Condor Energy's
ticker Cdr.
442
00:25:03,000 --> 00:25:06,560
It is about how overlooked
energy corridors can re rate
443
00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:09,280
small stocks into geopolitical
players.
444
00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:13,960
Both prove that asymmetric edges
hide where the headlines do not
445
00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:17,120
look.
This is the real value.
446
00:25:17,360 --> 00:25:20,200
We do the work.
We track the insider signals,
447
00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:23,320
the numbers, and the mispricings
that other people miss.
448
00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:26,320
You get to hear it before the
big money catches on.
449
00:25:26,560 --> 00:25:29,720
That is what keeps you ahead
when you want real asymmetric
450
00:25:29,720 --> 00:25:32,040
returns.
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451
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