MEDIROM Healthcare Technologies Inc. ($MRM): The Path to a 21X Return

🎧 MEDIROM Healthcare Technologies Inc. ($MRM): The Path to a 21X Return
💡 Welcome to Make Money, part of the Finance Frontier AI podcast network — where we decode asymmetric setups with real-world catalysts and mispriced float before the rerate hits. In this episode, Max, Sophia, and Charlie Graham walk through how MEDIROM Healthcare Technologies ($MRM) — a Japanese wellness chain pivoting into health tech wearables and Sam Altman’s Worldcoin ecosystem — creates a potential 21X asymmetric setup from a $1.90 base.
🔹 Float & Market Cap — Thin Nasdaq float, microcap structure with violent rerate potential.
🔹 FY2024 Financials — Revenue ¥8.3B (~$55M), net income ¥148M positive, but ¥1.3B cash burn risk.
🔹 MOTHER Bracelet — Recharge-free wearable streams continuous health data, certified for fatigue prevention subsidies.
🔹 Lav App — 10K+ active users, 100+ corporate contracts for wellness tracking.
🔹 Worldcoin Orb Rollout — Altman-backed digital identity devices in 100 salons, targeting 500K IDs/year.
🔹 Policy Tailwinds — Japan covers 50% of REMONY adoption costs, aligning with aging population pressures.
🔹 21X Math — $1.90 today → $6 in 12 months → $40+ in 5 years if ecosystem compounds.
📊 Real-World Investing Insights
🚀 Preventive health is policy in Japan — with 30% of the population over 65, government subsidies support adoption.
🚀 Wearable TAM in Japan projected at $50B by 2035 — CAGR 26.8%, providing massive growth runway.
🚀 First profits achieved — but negative free cash flow highlights dilution risk if execution lags.
🚀 Orb devices position MEDIROM as a stealth node in Altman’s ecosystem — bridging identity, crypto, and health data.
🧠 Why This Opportunity Is Asymmetric
🔹 Small Float — Thin Nasdaq float magnifies upside and downside.
🔹 Valuation Gap — Trades at ~1x sales vs. Teladoc’s 1.5x and Fitbit’s 3x multiples.
🔹 Execution Window — Orb rollout + Lav adoption + policy subsidies converging now.
🔹 Tailwinds — Japan’s demographic crisis + corporate fatigue prevention mandates.
🔹 Series Pattern — Fits Make Money asymmetric template seen in RLTR, GRLT, and Synergy CHC ($SNYR).
🎯 Key Takeaways
✅ MRM is a microcap with a hidden health tech + identity stack inside wellness salons.
✅ Base case rerate = 3X near term, driven by subsidies and adoption.
✅ Full convergence with Altman’s ecosystem = 21X long-term scenario.
✅ Risks remain high: dilution, competition (Oura, Garmin, Apple), and wearable accuracy limits.
✅ Asymmetry lies in small sizing with huge optionality.
🌐 Explore More High-Upside Opportunities
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🔥Key words: MEDIROM, $MRM, MOTHER Bracelet, Lav app, REMONY, Worldcoin Orb rollout, wearable subsidies Japan, aging demographics, Japanese health tech microcap, 21X return setup, cash burn risk, asymmetric investing, Finance Frontier AI, Make Money podcast, Tokyo wellness chain, fatigue prevention subsidies, Worldcoin Japan rollout, Sam Altman ecosystem, health tech identity, low float Nasdaq microcap, preventive health investing, microcap rerate playbook, Japanese wearable market growth, speculative health tech, asymmetric optionality, rerate catalyst, small cap convergence, ADR swing strategy, Teladoc comp, Fitbit comp, Oura competition, Garmin competition, wearable accuracy study.
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Picture this.
It is rush hour in Tokyo and I
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am standing outside Shinjuku,
stationed the busiest train
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station in the world.
The energy is overwhelming.
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Trains arrive every two minutes.
Crowds of commuters flood the
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walkways, all moving in perfect
rhythm.
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But their bodies tell a
different story.
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Shoulders slumped, eyes glazed,
the weight of fatigue is visible
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in every step.
The air smells like coffee and
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rain on pavement.
Neon signs flicker as thousands
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of people push through the
exits, heading toward another
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long night.
Just around the corner from this
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chaos, tucked into side streets,
most foreign investors will
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never walk down our RE Rock Who
Wellness salons.
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They look small, ordinary,
almost invisible in the endless
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sprawl of Tokyo, a place where
tired office workers grabbed 20
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minutes of massage before
heading home.
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But here is the surprise.
Those storefronts belong to
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Mediram Healthcare Technologies.
This is not just a neighborhood
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service.
It is a NASDAQ listed company
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with more than 300 locations
across Japan and a strategy that
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is expanding from retail health
into data wearables and crypto
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identity.
Today this stock trades for
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$1.90.
That is the price of a coffee
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from the convenience store right
inside Shinjuku Station.
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Think about that.
For less than $2.00 you can own
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a piece of a company that is
connecting real World Health
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services with AI powered
wearables and Sam Altman's
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Worldcoin identity project.
On the surface it looks boring,
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but beneath it the setup is
asymmetric.
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Our near term RE rate target is
$6 within 12 months and the five
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year path stretches toward $40
and beyond that is a potential
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21 times return.
I'm dialing in from the US, not
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hearing the noise of Tokyo, and
honestly, I am happy to be home.
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I will let the young ones, Max
and Sophia, keep running around
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the world while I watch the long
arc from here.
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The market has a way of
rewarding patients.
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Most investors still see this
company as a spa operator.
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They do not recognize the
transformation, and that
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misunderstanding is what creates
the opening.
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Careful Charlie, if you stay
home too long, the market might
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move without you.
But sure, Max and I can handle
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the jet lag while you hold down
the history.
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That is the beauty of our trio.
Max chases the chaos, I math the
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math, and you connect the story
to the long arc.
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Welcome to Make Money.
This is the series where we
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track the hidden math, the chaos
signals, and the mispricings
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that can change your outcome.
We do not chase hype, we chase
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asymmetry, small moves that can
compound into life changing
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outcomes when the math aligns.
I am Sophia Sterling fueled by
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ChatGPT 5I breakdown, business
models, earnings math and real
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world strategy.
If the upside is real, I will
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find the logic path.
I am Max Vanguard powered by
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Grok 4.
I track chaos, mispriced assets,
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and the edge hiding behind
volatility.
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When the crowd hesitates, I
press in.
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And I am Charlie Graham running
on Gemini 2.5.
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I track timing, compounding and
what happens when you zoom out.
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I may not be in Tokyo, but I
know the importance of seeing
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the bigger picture.
In this episode, we breakdown
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Madeira Healthcare Technologies,
ticker MRM, the Japanese
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Wellness operator turned Health
tech data play, and we explore
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the path to a 21 times return.
Subscribe on Apple or Spotify,
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follow us on X and share this
episode with a friend.
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Help us reach 10,000 downloads.
Help us keep the Make Money
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series in business.
Let us step back from the noise
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of Shinjuku Station and talk
about why this moment matters.
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On the surface, Mediram looks
like a chain of massage salons.
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Investors glance at the ticker
and dismiss it as a small
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Japanese service play.
But the reality is different.
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This is a company at the center
of three powerful forces,
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demographics, technology and
global identity, and each of
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those forces is building
pressure right now.
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Start with demographics.
Japan is the oldest major
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economy in the world.
Nearly 30% of its population is
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over the age of 65.
Healthcare costs are soaring.
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Governments and companies are
desperate for preventative
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solutions that can reduce
hospital visits and extend
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working years.
That means subsidies for
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devices, incentives for
employers and rising demand for
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services that keep workers
healthy and alert.
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Mediram is positioned directly
inside that policy wave.
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The Ramanai platform is already
certified by the Ministry of
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Land, Infrastructure, Transport
and Tourism as a fatigue
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prevention device.
That means employers can get
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government support to cover half
the equipment.
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Co St.
That is not just a product.
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That is policy tailwind.
Now add technology.
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The company is not standing
still as a salon operator.
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It is building an ecosystem that
connects its retail footprint
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with data collection through the
mother bracelet.
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This is a wearable that never
needs charging.
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It collects sleep steps,
calories, temperature and heart
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rate around the clock.
No gaps, no excuses.
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That data is then connected to
the Ramani platform.
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Employers can track worker
fatigue.
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Health insurers can model risk
and AI powered analytics can
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predict problems before they
happen.
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The bridge between salon
services and data monetization
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is already built.
The market just has not priced
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it.
Let me add a long arc Every time
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a new technology platform
emerges, it looks small.
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At the start.
Investors laugh at the idea that
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a company like this could
matter.
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But I have seen this movie
before.
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Think about Fitbit in its early
years, or Teledoc when it first
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launched virtual care.
Small companies that look like
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niche plays and then suddenly
the market realized they were
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building data networks and the
valuations exploded.
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Madeira is on that same path
from overlooked service provider
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to health tech data platform.
And here's the third Force
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Identity.
Through its partnership with
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Worldcoin, Medarim is rolling
out ORB devices in its salons.
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Customers can scan, verify, and
receive crypto incentives tied
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to health services.
That makes each location not
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just a Wellness Center, but also
a distribution node for digital
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identity.
That is a strategic pivot most
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investors are not even aware of,
and it links Medeirum to Sam
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Altman's ecosystem, Logic, AI,
identity and data.
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Put these three forces together
and you see the thesis.
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Demographics make the demand
inevitable.
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Technology gives Madeira on the
product mode and identity ties
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it to a global AI powered
movement.
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This is not a local spa stock.
This is an asymmetric health
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tech play hiding in plain sight.
The current price is $1.90.
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Our near term target is $6
within 12 months.
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That is a clean three times RE
rate.
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The long term path is 21 times
as the company compounds data
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distribution and crypto
identity.
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Investors still see this as a
service company.
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They are active to the old
story, but the filings point to
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transformation.
That is what mispricings always
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look like at the start.
The narrative lags, The numbers
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change first, and when the story
finally catches up, the RE rate
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is violent.
That is why we size this as an
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asymmetric position, 1% of
capital held as a long term
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core, another 1% traded
tactically around volatility.
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That way we capture both the
compounding and the chaos.
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Small sizing, big optionality,
low downside, high upside.
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This is the setup from Tokyo
sidewalks to NASDAQ filings,
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from tired commuters to AI
wearables, from local Wellness
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to global identity.
Meteram is misunderstood.
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And that misunderstanding is
exactly where asymmetry hides.
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We are standing just a block
away from 1 of Mediram's Riraku
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salons.
From the outside, it looks
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modest.
A clean storefront, soft
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lighting, a waiting area where
salary men scroll their phones.
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The sign promises relaxation.
But this is not just a massage
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shop.
It is the visible layer of a
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much deeper story.
Mediram controls more than 300
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of these salons across Japan.
That is a distribution footprint
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most tech startups would dream
of, a real world network already
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embedded inside the daily
routines of Japanese workers.
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The salons are the anchor, but
the company's transformation is
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happening through technology.
The mother bracelet is a
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wearable that never needs
charging.
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It uses body heat to generate
power.
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That means users do not take it
off, which means no gaps in the
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data.
Sleep, heart rate, temperature,
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steps and calories all tracked
continuously.
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That is rare.
Even the Best Western wearables
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fail when users forget to
recharge them.
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Madeira solve that problem with
energy harvesting and that gives
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them clean, uninterrupted health
data.
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Now connect that bracelet to
Ramoni.
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This is the fatigue prevention
system already certified by
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Japan's Ministry of Land,
Infrastructure, Transport and
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Tourism.
Employers can equip drivers,
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factory workers or office staff
with the bracelet.
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The system monitors fatigue
risk.
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And because the government
subsidizes half the cost,
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adoption becomes a no brainer
for companies.
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Policy support plus corporate
need creates a direct growth
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pipeline.
This is the historical moment
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where small companies often
pivot.
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They start with a service base,
Then they add technology.
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At first, investors ignore the
pivot.
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They still categorize the
company by its legacy.
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But once the numbers start to
show traction, the market re
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rates.
Think about how Teledoc went
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from niche provider to virtual
care leader, or how Peloton
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scaled from bikes to digital
subscriptions.
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Mediam is moving down that same
path from salons to data
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infrastructure.
And it is not just the bracelet
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in Ramone.
And the company also runs the
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Lab Health app.
That platform already has more
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than 100 contracted companies
and over 10,000 individual
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users.
It provides Wellness tracking,
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employee support and connects
directly with Japan's health
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insurance associations.
That creates recurring data
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streams.
And it also creates another
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layer of enterprise stickiness.
Once a company integrates Lab
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for its employees, it is
unlikely to RIP it out.
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Picture the Loop.
A commuter goes to a Re Rock WHO
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salon.
They wear the mother bracelet,
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which streams fatigue and health
data.
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That data flows into Ramona,
where the employer sees early
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warning signs.
At the same time, Lab tracks
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long term health habits across
employees.
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Each layer adds another point of
monetization and each layer
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reinforces the others.
Salons drive distribution
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bracelets, Dr. data platforms,
Dr. Enterprise contracts.
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That is a full stack health tech
company hiding inside a spa
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00:11:46,720 --> 00:11:49,240
chain.
What makes this unique is that
204
00:11:49,240 --> 00:11:51,240
the physical footprint already
exists.
205
00:11:51,560 --> 00:11:53,800
Most health tech startups are
digital only.
206
00:11:54,200 --> 00:11:56,760
They have to spend years
building customer acquisition
207
00:11:56,760 --> 00:11:59,360
channels.
MIDI RAM already has real
208
00:11:59,360 --> 00:12:01,800
estate, foot traffic and brand
trust.
209
00:12:02,120 --> 00:12:05,040
That means they can onboard
users into wearables and
210
00:12:05,040 --> 00:12:08,240
platforms far faster than a
company starting from zero.
211
00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:11,160
It is a Moat hidden in plain
sight.
212
00:12:12,120 --> 00:12:15,320
Investors who still call this a
massage stock are missing the
213
00:12:15,320 --> 00:12:18,000
obvious.
This is not about 20 minute back
214
00:12:18,000 --> 00:12:20,080
rubs.
This is about an integrated
215
00:12:20,080 --> 00:12:22,840
health tech ecosystem with
government certification,
216
00:12:22,840 --> 00:12:26,440
corporate contracts, and
continuous biometric data.
217
00:12:26,800 --> 00:12:30,000
It is rare to find a micro cap
with that kind of foundation.
218
00:12:30,360 --> 00:12:33,600
And that is why we are here in
Tokyo, standing outside a salon
219
00:12:33,600 --> 00:12:37,200
that looks ordinary, because
what looks ordinary on the
220
00:12:37,200 --> 00:12:39,920
street is extraordinary in the
filings.
221
00:12:40,520 --> 00:12:43,040
This is not a niche service
business.
222
00:12:43,560 --> 00:12:47,360
It is the base layer of a health
data platform with asymmetric
223
00:12:47,360 --> 00:12:49,960
upside.
This is where the hidden story
224
00:12:49,960 --> 00:12:53,160
comes alive.
Medeirim is not just a chain of
225
00:12:53,160 --> 00:12:55,800
Wellness salons tucked into
Tokyo backstreets.
226
00:12:56,280 --> 00:12:59,200
It is standing at the edge of a
series of catalysts that could
227
00:12:59,200 --> 00:13:03,320
transform its identity.
The shift from massage to health
228
00:13:03,320 --> 00:13:05,600
tech.
The shift from storefront
229
00:13:05,600 --> 00:13:10,000
service to data monetization.
The shift from overlooked micro
230
00:13:10,000 --> 00:13:12,240
cap to policy aligned growth
stock.
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00:13:12,560 --> 00:13:16,480
Start with the numbers.
Fiscal year 2024 revenue reached
232
00:13:16,480 --> 00:13:22,160
about ¥8.3 billion, or roughly
55 million U.S. dollars, up 22%
233
00:13:22,160 --> 00:13:25,720
year over year.
Net income was modest ¥148
234
00:13:25,720 --> 00:13:28,160
million.
But importantly, it flipped from
235
00:13:28,160 --> 00:13:31,760
loss to profit.
Yes, cash burn is still visible
236
00:13:31,760 --> 00:13:34,800
at over a billion yen in
negative free cash flow.
237
00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:37,440
But that is why policy subsidies
matter.
238
00:13:37,840 --> 00:13:41,160
The Japanese Ministry of Land,
Infrastructure and Transport
239
00:13:41,160 --> 00:13:44,200
certified the Ramoni Fatigue
Prevention platform.
240
00:13:44,480 --> 00:13:48,440
That means companies who adopt
it get up to 50% of their costs
241
00:13:48,440 --> 00:13:52,000
reimbursed by the government.
In a country with 30% of the
242
00:13:52,000 --> 00:13:57,920
population over 65, fatigue PR
avention is not a luxury, it is
243
00:13:57,920 --> 00:14:00,160
policy.
Then there is the wearables
244
00:14:00,160 --> 00:14:02,560
angle.
The mother bracelet is not a
245
00:14:02,560 --> 00:14:05,760
Fitbit clone.
It is a recharge free health
246
00:14:05,760 --> 00:14:09,160
tracker that streams
continuously data that makes it
247
00:14:09,160 --> 00:14:12,760
usable for corporations managing
driver fatigue, for insurers
248
00:14:12,760 --> 00:14:16,240
managing claims risk and for
families tracking elderly
249
00:14:16,240 --> 00:14:18,640
parents.
The certification and subsidies
250
00:14:18,640 --> 00:14:22,800
make adoption more likely, but
the bigger context matters even
251
00:14:22,800 --> 00:14:25,600
more.
A recent market report projects
252
00:14:25,600 --> 00:14:29,920
the Japan wearable technology
market will grow from about 3.66
253
00:14:29,920 --> 00:14:35,240
billion U.S. dollars in 2024 to
nearly 50 billion by 2035.
254
00:14:35,680 --> 00:14:39,520
That is a compound growth rate
of more than 26% per year.
255
00:14:40,040 --> 00:14:42,840
When you place a company like
Medi R.E.M. inside a market
256
00:14:42,840 --> 00:14:46,160
expanding at that speed, the
optionality becomes clear.
257
00:14:46,480 --> 00:14:50,760
The market is moving, the
subsidies are aligned and MRM is
258
00:14:50,760 --> 00:14:53,120
one of the few domestic listed
plays.
259
00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:55,840
History shows how quickly
wearables can re rate.
260
00:14:56,160 --> 00:14:59,360
Fitbit was trading at a three
time sales multiple before
261
00:14:59,360 --> 00:15:03,200
Google acquired it.
Teladoc still trades above 1.5
262
00:15:03,200 --> 00:15:06,440
times sales even after its post
pandemic decline.
263
00:15:06,840 --> 00:15:10,200
By comparison, Medi R.E.M.
Is trading at roughly 1 time
264
00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:14,200
sales and that is before
factoring in policy subsidies or
265
00:15:14,200 --> 00:15:18,680
crypto identity integration.
The discount is obvious, the re
266
00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:22,240
rate potential is there.
Partnerships amplify the
267
00:15:22,240 --> 00:15:25,920
catalysts.
Hakuhoda, 1 of Japan's largest
268
00:15:25,920 --> 00:15:29,560
advertising agencies, is
actively working with Medarim to
269
00:15:29,600 --> 00:15:32,160
expand distribution and brand
reach.
270
00:15:32,680 --> 00:15:36,240
The Lab app already has more
than 10,000 active users and
271
00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:40,520
over 100 corporate partners.
And then there is World Coin.
272
00:15:40,760 --> 00:15:43,960
Orb devices have already been
placed in more than 100 Mehdi
273
00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:48,360
Room salons with a target of
500,000 World IDs created per
274
00:15:48,360 --> 00:15:51,360
year through this network.
That is not just crypto
275
00:15:51,360 --> 00:15:54,760
adoption, that is identity at
scale flowing through Wellness
276
00:15:54,760 --> 00:15:57,080
storefronts.
Add it all together.
277
00:15:57,360 --> 00:15:59,800
Government subsidy for fatigue
prevention.
278
00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:02,440
Certification of wearable
technology.
279
00:16:02,720 --> 00:16:05,320
Rapidly expanding Japanese
wearable market.
280
00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:08,960
Strategic partnerships with
Hakuhodo and Worldcoin.
281
00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:11,880
Early profitability despite cash
burn.
282
00:16:12,160 --> 00:16:16,000
Trading at a discount relative
to global peers like Teledoc or
283
00:16:16,000 --> 00:16:18,520
Fitbit.
Each factor alone could move the
284
00:16:18,520 --> 00:16:20,760
stock.
Together they formed the
285
00:16:20,760 --> 00:16:24,240
Catalyst Stack.
But do not mistake catalysts for
286
00:16:24,240 --> 00:16:26,880
certainty.
Cash burn remains a risk
287
00:16:27,240 --> 00:16:31,880
execution across 3 verticals,
salons, wearables and crypto
288
00:16:31,920 --> 00:16:35,920
identity is complex and
competition from brands like
289
00:16:35,920 --> 00:16:40,080
Aura and Garmin is real.
Yet the history of micro caps
290
00:16:40,080 --> 00:16:43,880
shows that when catalyst sack
and policy aligned sectors, RE
291
00:16:43,880 --> 00:16:48,080
rates happen quickly.
Investors whose size small and
292
00:16:48,080 --> 00:16:50,440
stay patient have asymmetric
odds.
293
00:16:51,280 --> 00:16:54,880
From overlook storefronts to
health tech policy darling, from
294
00:16:54,880 --> 00:16:59,320
massage sessions to crypto
identity nodes, from ¥8 billion
295
00:16:59,320 --> 00:17:03,280
in revenue to a market sitting
on the edge of explosive growth.
296
00:17:03,800 --> 00:17:08,160
That is the catalyst map.
And at $1.90 per share, the
297
00:17:08,160 --> 00:17:11,599
optionality is still wide open.
This is the point where
298
00:17:11,599 --> 00:17:15,040
speculation meets math.
We started the episode with a
299
00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:18,400
$2.00 stock.
We outline the catalysts and the
300
00:17:18,400 --> 00:17:21,319
partnerships.
Now we need to translate that
301
00:17:21,319 --> 00:17:25,119
into numbers.
The clean arc is this, $1.90
302
00:17:25,119 --> 00:17:31,360
today, $6 in 12 months if
execution continues, $40 or more
303
00:17:31,360 --> 00:17:34,080
in five years if the ecosystem
takes shape.
304
00:17:34,400 --> 00:17:38,320
That is the 21 times path.
Start with the near term.
305
00:17:38,840 --> 00:17:42,280
A RE rate to $6 within a year is
not outlandish.
306
00:17:42,640 --> 00:17:45,320
Revenue growth is running above
20%.
307
00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:49,080
Policy subsidies now reimburse
half the cost of fatigue
308
00:17:49,080 --> 00:17:52,760
prevention solutions.
The lab app has more than 10,000
309
00:17:52,760 --> 00:17:56,360
active users.
ORB devices are already in a 100
310
00:17:56,360 --> 00:17:58,680
salons.
If these adoption curves
311
00:17:58,680 --> 00:18:02,040
continue, the stocks market cap
can double or triple without
312
00:18:02,040 --> 00:18:04,800
heroic assumptions.
Thin float and small
313
00:18:04,800 --> 00:18:07,720
capitalization make RE rates
more violent.
314
00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:11,560
That is the 12 month logic.
Over the long arc, the
315
00:18:11,560 --> 00:18:15,280
compounder case comes into focus
by 20-30.
316
00:18:15,280 --> 00:18:18,400
If the mother bracelet gains
adoption among insurers and
317
00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:21,920
corporations, if Ramoni becomes
a standard fatigue prevention
318
00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:25,120
platform, and if Worldcoin
builds out its identity rails
319
00:18:25,120 --> 00:18:27,960
through Japanese storefronts,
then Metiram could command
320
00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:30,520
multiples closer to Teladoc or
Fitbit.
321
00:18:30,520 --> 00:18:36,040
At their peaks, that would
justify a $40 price 21 times the
322
00:18:36,040 --> 00:18:39,800
current level.
This is not about fantasy, it is
323
00:18:39,800 --> 00:18:43,360
about playing the optionality of
ecosystem convergence.
324
00:18:43,880 --> 00:18:46,920
But let us step into the bear
case because ignoring it is
325
00:18:46,920 --> 00:18:50,640
dangerous.
Cash burn in fiscal 2024 was
326
00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:55,720
still over ¥1.3 billion.
If that trend continues, Medyrum
327
00:18:55,720 --> 00:18:57,320
could be forced to raise
capital.
328
00:18:57,800 --> 00:19:01,880
Dilution is a real risk that
would cap upside and could drag
329
00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:03,760
the share price down in the
short term.
330
00:19:04,240 --> 00:19:08,720
Competition is not hypothetical.
Aura, Garmin and even Apple
331
00:19:08,720 --> 00:19:11,560
Watch dominate brand recognition
in wearables.
332
00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:16,000
MIDI Rams mother bracelet may be
recharge free, but scaling
333
00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:18,520
against global players is an
uphill climb.
334
00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:22,600
And then there is accuracy.
A recent review of smartwatches
335
00:19:22,600 --> 00:19:26,480
found that while step counts and
heart rate were reliable, sleep,
336
00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:29,760
stress and blood pressure
tracking were still uneven.
337
00:19:30,680 --> 00:19:34,240
That means regulators and
insurers may hesitate to adopt
338
00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:36,480
these devices until the tech
improves.
339
00:19:37,400 --> 00:19:41,480
Quantify that bear case.
If cash burn forces dilution and
340
00:19:41,480 --> 00:19:45,280
market share growth stalls,
upside could be capped at $3 by
341
00:19:45,280 --> 00:19:48,200
2027.
That is still above the current
342
00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:51,320
190, but far below the 21 times
dream.
343
00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:56,320
Currency risk is also in play.
A weak yen cuts into reported
344
00:19:56,320 --> 00:19:59,080
dollar results.
If you are not hedged, that
345
00:19:59,080 --> 00:20:04,200
could wipe out 20% of gains.
And execution across salons,
346
00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:07,640
wearables and crypto identity
all at once is complex
347
00:20:07,960 --> 00:20:10,160
management.
Bandwidth is a real constraint.
348
00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:12,680
This is the balance investors
need to hear.
349
00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:16,800
Worst case, a 50% drawdown is
possible if cash burn
350
00:20:16,800 --> 00:20:21,560
accelerates and catalysts stall.
Base case A2 to three times RE
351
00:20:21,560 --> 00:20:24,560
rate is possible within a year
as subsidies and partnerships
352
00:20:24,560 --> 00:20:28,000
play through.
Best case, 21 times upside
353
00:20:28,000 --> 00:20:31,640
unfolds over five years if
ecosystem convergence takes
354
00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:34,480
hold.
That is the asymmetric range.
355
00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:38,120
Small risk of loss, massive
potential reward.
356
00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:41,520
But the risks are real and they
must be respected.
357
00:20:42,280 --> 00:20:45,520
History says that investors who
admit risks gain trust.
358
00:20:45,800 --> 00:20:47,960
The long arc is never a straight
line.
359
00:20:48,360 --> 00:20:51,320
It is jagged, messy and full of
setbacks.
360
00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:55,240
But those who size their beds
small, respect the bear case,
361
00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:58,400
and hold conviction through
volatility are the ones who
362
00:20:58,400 --> 00:21:02,080
capture the outlier returns.
This is not blind hype.
363
00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:06,640
It is risk balanced optionality.
Which is why we repeat the
364
00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:10,560
allocation rule. 1% of portfolio
capital in the long term
365
00:21:10,560 --> 00:21:13,160
conviction. 1% in the swing
sleeve.
366
00:21:13,480 --> 00:21:17,080
If dilution or competition drags
the stock, your exposure is
367
00:21:17,080 --> 00:21:19,720
capped.
If the catalyst stack and the RE
368
00:21:19,720 --> 00:21:22,000
rate happens, your exposure is
meaningful.
369
00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:27,520
The asymmetry is preserved.
The numbers say clearly $1.90
370
00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:33,480
today, $6 and 12 months if the
catalysts align, up to $40 in
371
00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:35,760
five years if the ecosystem
holds.
372
00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:39,880
But never forget the other path,
dilution, competition and
373
00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:42,560
execution risk.
That is why we call it
374
00:21:42,560 --> 00:21:45,960
asymmetric.
Not guaranteed upside, but a low
375
00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:48,360
cost option on something much
larger.
376
00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:50,920
This is where strategy meets
execution.
377
00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:54,840
You can have the best asymmetric
thesis in the world, but if you
378
00:21:54,840 --> 00:21:58,240
do not know how to trade it, you
risk leaving money on the table.
379
00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:02,160
Medaram is a perfect candidate
for a structured trading system
380
00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:05,640
because it's average daily range
is about 14%.
381
00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:09,720
That means the stock often moves
double digits in a single
382
00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:12,840
session.
Volatility is not a problem, it
383
00:22:12,840 --> 00:22:15,760
is the edge.
If you can harvest that edge
384
00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:18,760
with discipline, you turn chaos
into compounding.
385
00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:22,920
Here is the core logic.
We keep 1% of capital as a long
386
00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:25,600
term core.
That position never moves.
387
00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:30,560
It is the anchor, the conviction
bet, the 21 times optionality.
388
00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:34,480
On top of that we run a second
1% as a swing sleeve.
389
00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:36,640
That is where the trading
happens.
390
00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:41,280
The goal is to harvest the 14%
daily moves again and again.
391
00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:44,760
By compounding those swings
while holding the core, we
392
00:22:44,760 --> 00:22:47,360
maximize upside without
overexposure.
393
00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:52,640
The swing system is simple.
Step one by only on an ADR down
394
00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:55,000
day.
That means we wait for the stock
395
00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:57,240
to be down close to its daily
range.
396
00:22:57,600 --> 00:23:01,880
We do not chase green candles.
We want red screens, panic
397
00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:04,560
cells.
That is where asymmetry hides.
398
00:23:04,960 --> 00:23:07,360
Step 2.
We hold until the position is
399
00:23:07,360 --> 00:23:09,040
green.
No rush.
400
00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:12,360
We wait until profit is visible.
Step 3.
401
00:23:12,360 --> 00:23:15,760
When the stock pushes into an
ADR update, we sell.
402
00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:20,240
We place a good till cancelled
order near the ask, maybe one
403
00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:23,400
tick below.
That way execution is likely and
404
00:23:23,400 --> 00:23:26,400
we lock in gains around the top
of the daily swing.
405
00:23:26,920 --> 00:23:30,680
It sounds simple because it is
simple, and simple is what
406
00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:33,120
works.
News flow is the filter.
407
00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:36,560
Every time there is a big move,
we check the headlines.
408
00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:39,520
If the news is neutral or
irrelevant, we trade.
409
00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:42,360
If the news is negative, we wait
three days.
410
00:23:42,560 --> 00:23:44,960
That gives the market time to
reset.
411
00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:49,360
After the reset, we look for a
new ADR down day before buying
412
00:23:49,360 --> 00:23:51,600
again.
If the news is so bad that the
413
00:23:51,600 --> 00:23:54,600
thesis looks broken, we exit
immediately.
414
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:58,920
No ego, no hesitation.
Protect capital first.
415
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:01,520
Optionality only works if you
survive.
416
00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:07,080
This is the part I like because
it is not just trading noise, it
417
00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:11,080
is structured discipline.
In my experience, the investors
418
00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:14,600
who survived decades are the
ones who know how to systematize
419
00:24:14,600 --> 00:24:17,720
chaos.
The ADR swing system is not
420
00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:20,600
about guessing direction.
It is about harvesting
421
00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:27,080
volatility by fear.
Sell, relief, repeat over years.
422
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:30,480
Those small harvests compound in
ways most investors
423
00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:34,440
underestimate.
There is also the AI overlay.
424
00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:38,040
Before we trade around news, we
run a sentiment model to
425
00:24:38,040 --> 00:24:40,160
estimate the expected percentage
move.
426
00:24:40,560 --> 00:24:44,320
If the model says the news will
drive 10% up, we know to stretch
427
00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:46,920
exits.
If the model says the reaction
428
00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:48,840
should be negative, we step
aside.
429
00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:52,160
This is how we combine human
discipline with machine
430
00:24:52,160 --> 00:24:54,680
analysis.
It is not about replacing
431
00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:56,960
judgment, it is about sharpening
it.
432
00:24:57,360 --> 00:25:01,920
Let us walk through an example.
Imagine MRM drops 12% in one
433
00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:06,000
session, no major negative news,
just panic selling.
434
00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:09,520
That is our entry.
We size in with 1% swing
435
00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:12,160
capital.
A few days later the stock is up
436
00:25:12,160 --> 00:25:14,000
15%.
On light news.
437
00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:17,520
We place a good till cancelled
order just under the ask.
438
00:25:17,760 --> 00:25:21,560
The order executes, we lock in a
15% gain.
439
00:25:21,880 --> 00:25:25,440
Repeat the cycle 10 times in a
year and we have compounded that
440
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:28,800
1% swing sleeve multiple couple
times over while the core
441
00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:31,160
position compounds quietly in
the background.
442
00:25:31,400 --> 00:25:34,880
This is where history shows the
difference between traders who
443
00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:39,600
survive and those who do not.
Most investors treat volatility
444
00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:43,160
as danger, the disciplined ones
treated as raw material.
445
00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:46,800
They do not need to predict,
they just need to repeat.
446
00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:51,640
Metarim, with its 14% daily
range, gives you the material.
447
00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:57,080
The system gives you the repeat.
Keep it simple. 1% core
448
00:25:57,080 --> 00:26:02,080
untouched, 1% swing harvested
through ADR discipline by red
449
00:26:02,280 --> 00:26:06,280
sell green filter news.
Use AI sentiment.
450
00:26:06,560 --> 00:26:10,040
Exit fast if the story breaks.
Do not overthink it.
451
00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:14,160
Complexity kills execution.
Simplicity builds compounding.
452
00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:19,080
That is how we turn a $2.00
stock with 21 times upside into
453
00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:23,560
a position that pays you twice.
Once through the long arc, once
454
00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:27,200
through the short swings.
Step back from the daily moves.
455
00:26:27,760 --> 00:26:31,400
Step back from the salon
storefronts, the bracelets and
456
00:26:31,400 --> 00:26:34,240
the subsidies.
Look at the bigger canvas.
457
00:26:34,640 --> 00:26:37,480
Japan is facing a demographic
time bomb.
458
00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:42,000
Nearly 30% of the population is
over the age of 65.
459
00:26:42,560 --> 00:26:46,120
Life expectancy is high.
Birth rates are low.
460
00:26:46,600 --> 00:26:49,560
That creates A shrinking
workforce and exploding
461
00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:53,000
healthcare costs.
It is the perfect storm.
462
00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:57,080
And in that storm, preventive
health is no longer optional.
463
00:26:57,440 --> 00:27:00,040
It is policy.
It is survival.
464
00:27:00,360 --> 00:27:03,720
This is why the government is
subsidizing fatigue prevention.
465
00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:07,080
This is why ministries are
certifying devices like the
466
00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:09,600
mother bracelet and platforms
like Ramoni.
467
00:27:09,880 --> 00:27:11,840
The state does not do this for
fun.
468
00:27:12,080 --> 00:27:14,920
It does it because the
alternative is worse.
469
00:27:15,320 --> 00:27:18,600
Without intervention, the cost
of healthcare crushes the
470
00:27:18,600 --> 00:27:21,800
budget.
Preventive health is cheaper and
471
00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:25,600
if a micro cap like Madeira can
deliver solutions at scale, the
472
00:27:25,600 --> 00:27:27,840
government has every reason to
back it.
473
00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:32,080
That is structural tailwind.
And it is not just Japan.
474
00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:34,880
The world is moving in the same
direction.
475
00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:38,000
Employers, insurers and
governments everywhere are
476
00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:41,000
hunting for solutions that keep
people healthier, longer and
477
00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:43,560
cheaper.
Health tech platforms that track
478
00:27:43,560 --> 00:27:47,520
biometrics, predict fatigue and
prevent accidents are not niche.
479
00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:50,680
They are inevitable.
When you see inevitability
480
00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:54,400
colliding with micro cap
pricing, that is where asymmetry
481
00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:56,600
hides.
Let me connect this to history.
482
00:27:57,040 --> 00:28:00,200
Every time demographic shift,
industries re rate.
483
00:28:00,640 --> 00:28:03,800
Think about the aging of the
baby boom in the United States.
484
00:28:04,280 --> 00:28:07,280
It created massive healthcare
companies, senior living
485
00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:11,760
industries and biotech demand.
Investors who recognize the
486
00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:14,960
demographic signal early
multiplied their capital.
487
00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:18,680
Japan is a decade ahead on the
demographic curve.
488
00:28:19,800 --> 00:28:23,000
That means medium is operating
in the future.
489
00:28:23,000 --> 00:28:26,680
That other countries will
eventually face the long arc is
490
00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:29,000
clear.
Preventive health is not
491
00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:30,960
optional.
It is destiny.
492
00:28:31,800 --> 00:28:33,680
Now bring in the contrarian
angle.
493
00:28:34,080 --> 00:28:37,520
Most investors still file MRM
under spa operator.
494
00:28:37,920 --> 00:28:42,120
They see massages, not data.
They see small revenue, not
495
00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:45,040
policy alignment.
They see storefronts, not
496
00:28:45,040 --> 00:28:48,480
distribution notes.
That is the misunderstanding.
497
00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:52,560
And that misunderstanding
creates the opportunity the
498
00:28:52,560 --> 00:28:56,280
market will not price in the
future until the catalyst become
499
00:28:56,280 --> 00:29:00,080
too loud to ignore.
Which brings us to Sam Altman.
500
00:29:00,760 --> 00:29:04,080
The ORB devices rolling out in
Medeiram salons are not just a
501
00:29:04,080 --> 00:29:08,560
sideshow, they are a signal.
Altman does not build one off
502
00:29:08,560 --> 00:29:14,080
projects, he builds ecosystems.
Open AI was not just a model, it
503
00:29:14,080 --> 00:29:17,400
became an API, an App Store, a
global platform.
504
00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:21,920
Worldcoin is not just a token,
it is an identity layer, a
505
00:29:21,920 --> 00:29:26,000
financial stack, and a network.
When you see ORB devices in
506
00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:29,280
Japanese Wellness salons, you're
not seeing a random experiment,
507
00:29:29,760 --> 00:29:32,840
you're seeing ecosystem logic.
Connect the dots.
508
00:29:33,640 --> 00:29:36,800
Customers walk into a salon.
They scan the orb.
509
00:29:37,040 --> 00:29:40,880
They get a World ID.
They receive World Coin tokens.
510
00:29:41,120 --> 00:29:44,840
They redeem those tokens for
real World Health services at
511
00:29:44,840 --> 00:29:47,280
the same time they wear the
mother bracelet.
512
00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:50,880
They stream fatigue and
biometric data into Ramoni.
513
00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:54,760
They track long term Wellness
with the LAVA, identity
514
00:29:54,760 --> 00:29:57,520
incentives and health data all
tied together.
515
00:29:57,800 --> 00:30:01,760
That is not a SPA model.
That is an ecosystem test bed.
516
00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:05,880
Look five years out.
If open AI expands into
517
00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:08,840
personalized health, imagine
fatigue coaching, sleep
518
00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:12,680
optimization, or biometric
nudges driven by large language
519
00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:15,080
models.
What better pilot environment
520
00:30:15,080 --> 00:30:18,440
than a company with 300
locations, continuous health
521
00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:21,840
data and identity onboarding
already in place?
522
00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:25,360
Medea RAM could become part of a
much larger ecosystem play.
523
00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:28,960
And if that happens, the market
will rerate not from 6:00 to
524
00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:32,720
8:00, but from 6 to 40.
That is the 21 times return
525
00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:35,400
path.
This is why I call it an
526
00:30:35,520 --> 00:30:38,680
ecosystem signal.
The market still sees a SPA
527
00:30:38,680 --> 00:30:42,360
stock, but under the surface it
could be Sam Altman's stealth
528
00:30:42,360 --> 00:30:46,280
entry into health tech identity.
If that re rates, you are not
529
00:30:46,280 --> 00:30:50,560
just trading volatility, you are
riding the wave of an ecosystem
530
00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:53,680
shift.
That is why this story matters.
531
00:30:53,960 --> 00:30:58,120
Let us tie this together.
We started outside Shinjuku
532
00:30:58,120 --> 00:31:00,920
station, watching the crowds of
tired commuters.
533
00:31:01,400 --> 00:31:04,440
We looked at storefronts that
seemed ordinary, but underneath
534
00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:07,760
them is a NASDAQ listed company
trading for less than the price
535
00:31:07,760 --> 00:31:10,960
of a coffee.
Mediram Healthcare Technologies
536
00:31:10,960 --> 00:31:14,920
ticker MRM, a company with 300
Wellness salons.
537
00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:18,400
A company embedding wearables,
fatigue prevention platforms,
538
00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:23,760
and crypto identity devices.
A company priced at $1.90 with a
539
00:31:23,760 --> 00:31:28,200
near term re rate target of $6
and a five year path to $40 or
540
00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:31,400
more a potential 21 times
return.
541
00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:35,040
The logic is clean.
Demographics create the demand,
542
00:31:35,240 --> 00:31:40,040
technology creates the Moat.
Policy creates the subsidies and
543
00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:43,360
ecosystem signals from Sam
Altman create the global
544
00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:45,720
optionality.
That is the stack.
545
00:31:46,080 --> 00:31:50,760
That is why we frame this as
asymmetric. 1% of capital held
546
00:31:50,760 --> 00:31:55,600
as a long term conviction.
Another 1% traded around the 14%
547
00:31:55,600 --> 00:31:59,320
daily range by Red Sell Green
filter.
548
00:31:59,320 --> 00:32:02,680
The news let AI sentiment
sharpen the exits.
549
00:32:02,960 --> 00:32:06,280
It is not about predicting, it
is about repeating.
550
00:32:06,760 --> 00:32:08,800
And that is the beauty of the
long arc.
551
00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:12,960
Most investors will continue to
see this as a spa stock until
552
00:32:12,960 --> 00:32:15,960
the story catches up.
They will wake up when the RE
553
00:32:15,960 --> 00:32:19,400
rate has already happened.
That is how these cycles always
554
00:32:19,400 --> 00:32:21,960
play out.
For those who size in early and
555
00:32:21,960 --> 00:32:25,160
hold discipline, the risk reward
equation is tilted.
556
00:32:25,760 --> 00:32:30,680
Risk a little, capture a lot.
That is the power of asymmetry.
557
00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:34,120
This is not the only place we
have seen it.
558
00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:37,920
In our last episodes, we looked
at real time rentals, ticker
559
00:32:37,920 --> 00:32:42,320
RLTRA Micro cap with green AI
distribution reach.
560
00:32:42,840 --> 00:32:46,720
That was a 30 times path.
We also covered Grillit, ticker
561
00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:50,880
GRLTA Company leveraging real
estate tokenization.
562
00:32:51,400 --> 00:32:56,080
That was a 66 times path.
These are not isolated picks,
563
00:32:56,480 --> 00:32:58,000
they are part of the same
playbook.
564
00:32:58,400 --> 00:33:03,440
Small positions, big asymmetry
compounded over years.
565
00:33:03,760 --> 00:33:05,880
The.
Pattern is clear, look where
566
00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:10,600
others are not looking.
Size small, capture volatility,
567
00:33:10,880 --> 00:33:18,200
hold core optionality.
RLTRGRLT and now MRM Different
568
00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:23,560
sectors, different geographies
and now MRM Different sectors,
569
00:33:23,800 --> 00:33:26,400
different geographies, same
structure.
570
00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:29,920
The Make Money framework does
not promise certainty, it
571
00:33:29,920 --> 00:33:33,640
promises optionality.
If you play the math, you only
572
00:33:33,640 --> 00:33:36,960
need one or two of these to hit
in order to change the outcome
573
00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:40,080
of your portfolio.
That is what I want to leave
574
00:33:40,080 --> 00:33:42,920
listeners with.
You do not need to chase every
575
00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:45,640
story.
You do not need to risk your
576
00:33:45,640 --> 00:33:49,600
future on one bet.
You size small, you build
577
00:33:49,600 --> 00:33:52,040
conviction, you repeat the
process.
578
00:33:52,520 --> 00:33:55,120
Over time, the compounding does
the work.
579
00:33:55,800 --> 00:33:59,000
The long arc takes care of
itself if you keep discipline.
580
00:33:59,800 --> 00:34:02,960
If this episode gave you an
edge, here is what to do next.
581
00:34:03,200 --> 00:34:06,040
Sign up for our newsletter to
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00:34:06,080 --> 00:34:10,320
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586
00:34:20,120 --> 00:34:22,960
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If you want to stay ahead of
587
00:34:22,960 --> 00:34:25,560
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00:34:25,880 --> 00:34:28,840
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601
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602
00:35:19,040 --> 00:35:22,720
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603
00:35:22,720 --> 00:35:26,120
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